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While much effort has been invested in studies of traffic flow as a physics problem, two emerging trends in technology have broadened the subject for new investigations. The first trend is the development of self-driving vehicles. This…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-07 Skanda Vivek , David Yanni , Peter J. Yunker , Jesse L. Silverberg

Critical transitions or regime shifts are sudden and unexpected changes in the state of an ecosystem, that are usually associated with dangerous levels of environmental change. However, recent studies show that critical transitions can also…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-08-16 Anna Vanselow , Sebastian Wieczorek , Ulrike Feudel

We propose a new framework for measuring connectedness among financial variables that arises due to heterogeneous frequency responses to shocks. To estimate connectedness in short-, medium-, and long-term financial cycles, we introduce a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-20 Jozef Barunik , Tomas Krehlik

With a steadily growing human population and rapid advancements in technology, the global human network is increasing in size and connection density. This growth exacerbates networked global threats and can lead to unexpected consequences…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-07-02 Xiang Niu , Alaa Moussawi , Noemi Derzsy , Xin Lin , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

The application of the Cauchy distribution has often been discussed as a potential model of the financial markets. In particular the way in which single extreme, or "Black Swan", events can impact long term historical moments, is often…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-07 Will Hicks

Cross-border equity and long-term debt securities portfolio investment networks are analysed from 2002 to 2012, covering the 2008 global financial crisis. They serve as network-proxies for measuring the robustness of the global financial…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Stephan Joseph , Guanrong Chen

We find numerical and empirical evidence for dynamical, structural and topological phase transitions on the (German) Frankfurt Stock Exchange (FSE) in the temporal vicinity of the worldwide financial crash. Using the Minimal Spanning Tree…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-12 M. Wiliński , A. Sienkiewicz , T. Gubiec , R. Kutner , Z. R. Struzik

Development of sustainable insurance for cyber risks, with associated benefits, inter alia requires reduction of ambiguity of the risk. Considering cyber risk, and data breaches in particular, as a man-made catastrophe clarifies the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-17 Spencer Wheatley , Annette Hofmann , Didier Sornette

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Information spreading has been studied for decades, but its underlying mechanism is still under debate, especially for those ones spreading extremely fast through Internet. By focusing on the information spreading data of six typical events…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-05-08 Jiao Wu , Muhua Zheng , Zi-Ke Zhang , Wei Wang , Changgui Gu , Zonghua Liu

The crowd panic and its contagion play non-negligible roles at the time of the stock crash, especially for China where inexperienced investors dominate the market. However, existing models rarely consider investors in networking stocks and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-04-26 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang , Ruoen Ren

With rise in security breaches over the past few years, there has been an increasing need to mine insights from social media platforms to raise alerts of possible attacks in an attempt to defend conflict during competition. We use…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Soumajyoti Sarkar , Mohammad Almukaynizi , Jana Shakarian , Paulo Shakarian

A model of an evolving network of interacting molecular species is shown to exhibit repeated rounds of crashes in which several species get rapidly depopulated, followed by recoveries. The network inevitably self-organizes into an…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Sanjay Jain , Sandeep Krishna

Financial contagion from liquidity shocks has being recently ascribed as a prominent driver of systemic risk in interbank lending markets. Building on standard compartment models used in epidemics, in this work we develop an EDB…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-05-23 Giuseppe Brandi , Riccardo Di Clemente , Giulio Cimini

Money laundering is the crucial mechanism utilized by criminals to inject proceeds of crime to the financial system. The primary responsibility of the detection of suspicious activity related to money laundering is with the financial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-18 Utku Görkem Ketenci , Tolga Kurt , Selim Önal , Cenk Erbil , Sinan Aktürkoğlu , Hande Şerban İlhan

Natural and technological interdependent systems have been shown to be highly vulnerable due to cascading failures and an abrupt collapse of global connectivity under initial failure. Mitigating the risk by partial disconnection endangers…

As cyber-attacks continue to increase in frequency and sophistication, organisations must be better prepared to face the reality of an incident. Any organisational plan that intends to be successful at managing security risks must clearly…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-07-07 Nandita Pattnaik , Jason R. C. Nurse , Sarah Turner , Gareth Mott , Jamie MacColl , Pia Huesch , James Sullivan

The accurate characterization of the business cycles in the nonlinear dynamic financial and economic systems in the time of globalization represents a formidable research problem. The central banks and other financial institutions make…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-04-18 Dimitri O. Ledenyov , Viktor O. Ledenyov

Many dynamical systems operate in a fluctuating environment. However, even in low-dimensional setups, transitions and bifurcations have not yet been fully understood. In this Letter we focus on crises, a sudden flooding of the phase space…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2025-03-18 Simona Olmi , Antonio Politi

We report on time-varying network connectedness within three banking systems: North America, the EU, and ASEAN. The original method by Diebold and Yilmaz is improved by using exponentially weighted daily returns and ridge regularization on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-02-21 Sachapon Tungsong , Fabio Caccioli , Tomaso Aste