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In stochastic variational inference, the variational Bayes objective function is optimized using stochastic gradient approximation, where gradients computed on small random subsets of data are used to approximate the true gradient over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-19 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

Building spatial process models that capture nonstationary behavior while delivering computationally efficient inference is challenging. Nonstationary spatially varying kernels (see, e.g., Paciorek, 2003) offer flexibility and richness, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Sébastien Coube-Sisqueille , Sudipto Banerjee , Benoît Liquet

Macroscopic models for spatially extended systems under random influences are often described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Some techniques for understanding solutions of such equations, such as estimating…

动力系统 · 数学 2009-03-27 Jinqiao Duan

The paper considers so-called adaptive estimations of regression, distribution density and spectral density of a Gaussian stationary sequence, asymptotically optimal in order at a growing number of observation on any regular subspace…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

We establish a general form of explicit, input-dependent, measure-valued warpings for learning nonstationary kernels. While stationary kernels are ubiquitous and simple to use, they struggle to adapt to functions that vary in smoothness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Anthony Tompkins , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose a data-driven approach to quantify the uncertainty of models constructed by kernel methods. Our approach minimizes the needed distributional assumptions, hence, instead of working with, for example, Gaussian processes or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-06 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Krisztián Balázs Kis

This paper introduces an iterative algorithm for training nonparametric additive models that enjoys favorable memory storage and computational requirements. The algorithm can be viewed as the functional counterpart of stochastic gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-01 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski

In the context of uncertainty quantification, computational models are required to be repeatedly evaluated. This task is intractable for costly numerical models. Such a problem turns out to be even more severe for stochastic simulators, the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-11-29 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

For a general class of priors based on random series basis expansion, we develop the Bayes Lepski's method to estimate unknown regression function. In this approach, the series truncation point is determined based on a stopping rule that…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-21 William Weimin Yoo , Aad W. van der Vaart

The estimation of the L\'{e}vy density, the infinite-dimensional parameter controlling the jump dynamics of a L\'{e}vy process, is considered here under a discrete-sampling scheme. In this setting, the jumps are latent variables, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-25 José E. Figueroa-López

We develop a probabilistic characterisation of trajectorial expansion rates in non-autonomous stochastic dynamical systems that can be defined over a finite time interval and used for the subsequent uncertainty quantification in Lagrangian…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-12-24 Michal Branicki , Kenneth Uda

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

This paper enhances the classical Solow model of economic growth by integrating L\'evy noise, a type of non-Gaussian stochastic perturbation, to capture the inherent uncertainties in economic systems. The extended model examines the impact…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-03 Almaz Abebe , Shenglan Yuanb , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan

The asymptotic distribution of a wide class of V- and U-statistics with estimated parameters is derived in the case when the kernel is not necessarily differentiable along the parameter. The results have their application in goodness-of-fit…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-30 Marija Cuparić , Bojana Milošević , Marko Obradović

We study the asymptotic behavior of kernel estimators of asymptotic variances (or long-run variances) for a class of adaptive Markov chains. The convergence is studied both in $L^p$ and almost surely. The results also apply to Markov chains…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-17 Yves F. Atchadé

We show that kernel-based quadrature rules for computing integrals can be seen as a special case of random feature expansions for positive definite kernels, for a particular decomposition that always exists for such kernels. We provide a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-10 Francis Bach

Density estimation in high-dimensional settings is an important and challenging statistical problem.Traditional methods based on kernel smoothing are inefficient in high dimensions due to the difficulties in specifying appropriate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Ruitong Zhang , Ke Deng

We construct $\bf genRBF$ kernel, which generalizes the classical Gaussian RBF kernel to the case of incomplete data. We model the uncertainty contained in missing attributes making use of data distribution and associate every point with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-03 Łukasz Struski , Marek Śmieja , Jacek Tabor

Stochastic processes play a key role for modeling a huge variety of transport problems out of equilibrium, with manifold applications throughout the natural and social sciences. To formulate models of stochastic dynamics the conventional…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-07-25 Massimiliano Giona , Andrea Cairoli , Rainer Klages