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We establish Hoeffding-type concentration inequalities for the low and high tail bounds of sums of exchangeable random variables. Our results exhibit an anti-symmetry in such tail bounds due to the assumption of exchangeability, a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-03-12 Nina Maria Gottschling , Michele Caprio

Comparing concentration properties of uniform sampling with and without replacement has a long history which can be traced back to the pioneer work of Hoeffding (1963). The goal of this short note is to extend this comparison to the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-22 Anna Ben-Hamou , Yuval Peres , Justin Salez

We provide bounds on the tail probabilities for simple procedures that generate random samples _without replacement_, when the probabilities of being selected need not be equal.

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-07 Dean P. Foster , Sergiu Hart

Let $M_n= \fsu X1n$ be a sum of independent random variables such that $ X_k\leq 1$, $\E X_k =0$ and $\E X_k^2=\s_k^2$ for all $k$. Hoeffding 1963, Theorem 3, proved that $$\P{M_n \geq nt}\leq H^n(t,p),\quad H(t,p)= \bgl(1+qt/p\bgr)^{p +qt}…

概率论 · 数学 2011-11-29 Vidmantas Bentkus , Tomas Juškevičius

We revisit and refine known tail inequalities and confidence bounds for the hypergeometric distribution, i.e., for the setting where we sample without replacement from a fixed population with binary values or properties. The results are…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-14 Anne-Marie George

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

It is well known that Hoeffding's inequality has a lot of applications in the signal and information processing fields. How to improve Hoeffding's inequality and find the refinements of its applications have always attracted much…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-22 Pingyi Fan

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential estimates are derived for the tail distribution of polynomial martingale differences in terms unconditional tails distributions of summands. Applications are considered in the theory of polynomials…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky

We consider a branching random walk in the non-boundary case where the additive martingale $W_n$ converges a.s. and in mean to some non-degenerate limit $W_\infty$. We first establish the joint tail distribution of $W_\infty$ and the global…

概率论 · 数学 2025-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Loïc de Raphélis , Heng Ma

We present new sampling methods in finite population that allow to control the joint inclusion probabilities of units and especially the spreading of sampled units in the population. They are based on the use of renewal chains and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité , Matthieu Wilhelm

This paper presents new probability inequalities for sums of independent, random, self-adjoint matrices. These results place simple and easily verifiable hypotheses on the summands, and they deliver strong conclusions about the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-29 Joel A. Tropp

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

We consider multivariate extreme value statistics for independent but nonidentically distributed random vectors. In particular, the data may have varying tail copulas and also heteroscedastic marginal distributions. Assuming smoothly…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Chen Zhou

For the problem of estimating lower tail and upper tail copulas, we propose two bootstrap procedures for approximating the distribution of the corresponding empirical tail copulas. The first method uses a multiplier bootstrap of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette

In this paper, we give an alternative proof of the fact that, when compounding a nonnegative probability distribution, convex ordering between the distributions of the number of summands implies convex ordering between the resulting…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-17 Jean Bérard , Nicolas Juillet

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

In a seminal paper Biggins and Kyprianou \cite{BKy04} proved the existence of a non degenerate limit for the {\it Derivative martingale} of the branching random walk. As shown in \cite{Aid11} and \cite{Mad11}, this is an object of central…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-14 Thomas Madaule

For the basic case of $L_2$ optimal transport between two probability measures on a Euclidean space, the regularity of the coupling measure and the transport map in the tail regions of these measures is studied. For this purpose, Robert…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-06 Cees de Valk , Johan Segers
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