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Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

The SIR-compartment model is among the simplest models that describe the spread of a disease through a population. The model makes the unrealistic assumption that the population through which the disease is spreading is well-mixed. Although…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-11-16 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

In the real world, many complex systems interact with other systems. In addition, the intra- or inter-systems for the spread of information about infectious diseases and the transmission of infectious diseases are often not random, but with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Junbo Jia , Zhen Jin , Xinchu Fu

The simplest epidemiologic model composed by mutually exclusive compartments SIR (susceptible-infected-susceptible) is presented to describe a reality. From health concerns to situations related with marketing, informatics or even…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-11-09 Helena Sofia Rodrigues

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

概率论 · 数学 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

A random graph model with prescribed degree distribution and degree dependent edge weights is introduced. Each vertex is independently equipped with a random number of half-edges and each half-edge is assigned an integer valued weight…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-28 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fredrik Liljeros

We use scale-free networks to study properties of the infected mass $M$ of the network during a spreading process as a function of the infection probability $q$ and the structural scaling exponent $\gamma$. We use the standard SIR model and…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2015-06-24 Lazaros K. Gallos , Panos Argyrakis

The impact of spatial structure on the spread of an epidemic is an important issue in the propagation of infectious diseases. Recent studies, both deterministic and stochastic, have made it possible to understand the importance of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-09 Alphonse Emakoua

Discrete and Continuous Dynamics is the first in a series of articles on Network Models for Epidemiology. This project began in the Fall quarter of 2014 in my continuous modeling course. Since then, it has taken off and turned into a series…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-11-04 Edward Rusu

This paper gives an introduction to rule-based modelling applied to topics in infectious diseases. Rule-based models generalise reaction-based models with reagents that have internal state and may be bound together to form complexes, as in…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-08-10 William Waites , Matteo Cavaliere , David Manheim , Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths , Vincent Danos

We study extensions of the classical SIR model of epidemic spread. First, we consider a single population modified SIR epidemics model in which the contact rate is allowed to be an arbitrary function of the fraction of susceptible and…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-12-17 Martina Alutto , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

A compartment epidemic model for infectious disease spreading is investigated, where movement of individuals is governed by spatial diffusion. The model includes infection age of the infected individuals and assumes a logistic growth of the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-06-28 Christoph Walker

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

We formulate a generalized susceptible exposed infectious recovered (SEIR) model on a graph, describing the population dynamics of an open crowded place with an arbitrary topology. As a sample calculation, we discuss three simple cases,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-18 Andrea Nava , Alessandro Papa , Marco Rossi , Domenico Giuliano