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The effect of vigorous physical activity on mortality in the elderly is difficult to estimate using conventional approaches to causal inference that define this effect by comparing the mortality risks corresponding to hypothetical scenarios…

应用统计 · 统计学 2007-12-18 Oliver Bembom , Mark J. van der Laan

Evaluating the value of new clinical treatment rules based on patient characteristics is important but often complicated by hidden confounding factors in observational studies. Standard methods for estimating the average patient outcome if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Johannes Hruza , Erin Gabriel , Arvid Sjölander , Samir Bhatt , Michael Sachs

Personalized medicine has become an important part of medicine, for instance predicting individual drug responses based on genomic information. However, many current statistical methods are not tailored to this task, because they overlook…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-03 Shih-Ting Huang , Yannick Düren , Kristoffer H. Hellton , Johannes Lederer

We consider a general difference-in-differences model in which the treatment variable of interest may be non-binary and its value may change in each period. It is generally difficult to estimate treatment parameters defined with the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-30 Takahide Yanagi

For mental disorders, patients' underlying mental states are non-observed latent constructs which have to be inferred from observed multi-domain measurements such as diagnostic symptoms and patient functioning scores. Additionally,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Yuan Chen , Donglin Zeng , Tianchen Xu , Yuanjia Wang

Medical journals have adhered to a reporting practice that seriously limits the usefulness of published trial findings. Medical decision makers commonly observe many patient covariates and seek to use this information to personalize…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-07 Sheyu Li , Valentyn Litvin , Charles F. Manski

The development of high-throughput sequencing and targeted therapies has led to the emergence of personalized medicine: a patient's molecular profile or the presence of a specific biomarker of drug response will correspond to a treatment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Jonas Béal , Aurélien Latouche

Consider a setup in which a decision maker is informed about the population by a finite sample and based on that sample has to decide whether or not to apply a certain treatment. We work out finite sample minimax regret treatment rules…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-08 Patrik Guggenberger , Nihal Mehta , Nikita Pavlov

The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

Pragmatic trials increasingly define outcomes using real-world data such as electronic health records, where assessments are collected during routine care rather than at fixed timepoints. Consequently, these uncontrolled assessments may be…

When a new treatment is considered for use, whether a pharmaceutical drug or a search engine ranking algorithm, a typical question that arises is, will its performance exceed that of the current treatment? The conventional way to answer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-10-27 Nir Rosenfeld , Yishay Mansour , Elad Yom-Tov

Unlike classical causal inference, which often has an average causal effect of a treatment within a population as a target, in settings such as personalized medicine, the goal is to map a given unit's characteristics to a treatment tailored…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-13 Ilya Shpitser , Sourjya Sarkar

Precision medicine is a rapidly expanding area of health research wherein patient level information is used to inform treatment decisions. A statistical framework helps to formalize the individualization of treatment decisions that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Coraline Danieli , Erica Moodie

We study the problem of a decision maker who must provide the best possible treatment recommendation based on an experiment. The desirability of the outcome distribution resulting from the policy recommendation is measured through a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-04-06 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

Recent development in the data-driven decision science has seen great advances in individualized decision making. Given data with individual covariates, treatment assignments and outcomes, policy makers best individualized treatment rule…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Weibin Mo , Zhengling Qi , Yufeng Liu

Recent exploration of optimal individualized decision rules (IDRs) for patients in precision medicine has attracted a lot of attention due to the heterogeneous responses of patients to different treatments. In the existing literature of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-08-29 Zhengling Qi , Ying Cui , Yufeng Liu , Jong-Shi Pang

Flexible estimation of the mean outcome under a treatment regimen (i.e., value function) is the key step toward personalized medicine. We define our target parameter as a conditional value function given a set of baseline covariates which…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-29 Ashkan Ertefaie , Luke Duttweiler , Brent A. Johnson , Mark J. van der Laan

Mobile health studies can leverage longitudinal sensor data from smartphones to guide the application of personalized medical interventions. In this paper, we propose that adoption of an instrumental variable approach for randomized trials…

In order to identify important variables that are involved in making optimal treatment decision, Lu et al. (2013) proposed a penalized least squared regression framework for a fixed number of predictors, which is robust against the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-16 Chengchun Shi , Rui Song , Wenbin Lu

The goal of personalized decision making is to map a unit's characteristics to an action tailored to maximize the expected outcome for that unit. Obtaining high-quality mappings of this type is the goal of the dynamic regime literature. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-01 Razieh Nabi , Phyllis Kanki , Ilya Shpitser