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This paper studies a two-stage model of experimentation, where the researcher first samples representative units from an eligible pool, then assigns each sampled unit to treatment or control. To implement balanced sampling and assignment,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-22 Max Cytrynbaum

Market indicators such as CPI and GDP have been widely used over decades to identify the stage of business cycles and also investment attractiveness of sectors given market conditions. In this paper, we propose a two-stage methodology that…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-09 Tugce Karatas , Ali Hirsa

This paper shows that time series forecasting Transformer (TSFT) suffers from severe over-fitting problem caused by improper initialization method of unknown decoder inputs, esp. when handling non-stationary time series. Based on this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

In this paper we compare two regression curves by measuring their difference by the area between the two curves, represented by their $L^1$-distance. We develop asymptotic confidence intervals for this measure and statistical tests to…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-03 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette , Lukas Koletzko , Kathrin Möllenhoff

We propose a one-step procedure to estimate the latent positions in random dot product graphs efficiently. Unlike the classical spectral-based methods such as the adjacency and Laplacian spectral embedding, the proposed one-step procedure…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-16 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

Modern problems in statistics tend to include estimators of high computational complexity and with complicated distributions. Statistical inference on such estimators usually relies on asymptotic normality assumptions, however, such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Eyal Fisher , Regev Schweiger , Saharon Rosset

While widely used as a general method for uncertainty quantification, the bootstrap method encounters difficulties that raise concerns about its validity in practical applications. This paper introduces a new resampling-based method, termed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-30 Yiran Jiang , Chuanhai Liu , Heping Zhang

This paper explores the validity of the two-stage estimation procedure for sparse linear models in high-dimensional settings with possibly many endogenous regressors. In particular, the number of endogenous regressors in the main equation…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-18 Ying Zhu

In this paper, we consider the shift-inverse method with Richardson iteration step for the eigenvalue problems. It will be shown that the convergence speed depends heavily on the eigenvalue gap between the desired eigenvalue and undesired…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-04-06 Yunhui He , Hehu Xie

We study the problem of estimating the effect function for a continuous treatment, which maps each treatment value to a population-averaged outcome. A central challenge in this setting is confounding: treatment assignment often depends on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Seok-Jin Kim , Kaizheng Wang

In recent years, promising statistical modeling approaches to tensor data analysis have been rapidly developed. Traditional multivariate analysis tools, such as multivariate regression and discriminant analysis, are generalized from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Ning Wang , Xin Zhang , Qing Mai

Benders decomposition is one of the most applied methods to solve two-stage stochastic problems (TSSP) with a large number of scenarios. The main idea behind the Benders decomposition is to solve a large problem by replacing the values of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-24 Cristian Ramírez-Pico , Ivana Ljubić , Eduardo Moreno

In this paper, we develop interval estimation methods for means of bounded random variables based on a sequential procedure such that the sampling is continued until the sample sum is no less than a prescribed threshold.

统计理论 · 数学 2008-03-07 Xinjia Chen

In the presence of multiscale dynamics in a reaction network, direct simulation methods become inefficient as they can only advance the system on the smallest scale. This work presents stochastic averaging techniques to accelerate…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-23 Araz Hashemi , Marcel Nunez , Petr Plechac , Dionisios G. Vlachos

This paper proposes estimation and inference procedures for the quantiles of individual heterogeneous slope coefficients within panel data. We develop a two-step quantile estimation framework for analyzing heterogeneity in individual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-26 Antonio F. Galvao , Ulrich Hounyo , Jiahao Lin

We propose a two-stage procedure for estimating the location $\bolds{\mu}$ and size M of the maximum of a smooth d-variate regression function f. In the first stage, a preliminary estimator of $\bolds{\mu}$ obtained from a standard…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-20 Eduard Belitser , Subhashis Ghosal , Harry van Zanten

Iterative algorithms based on thresholding, feedback and null space tuning (NST+HT+FB) for sparse signal recovery are exceedingly effective and fast, particularly for large scale problems. The core algorithm is shown to converge in finitely…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-11-08 Ningning Han , Shidong Li , Zhanjie Song , Hong Wang

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

Non-probability samples become increasingly popular in survey statistics but may suffer from selection biases that limit the generalizability of results to the target population. We consider integrating a non-probability sample with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim , Rui Song

We introduce a two-level trust-region method (TLTR) for solving unconstrained nonlinear optimization problems. Our method uses a composite iteration step, which is based on two distinct search directions. The first search direction is…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-09-10 Andrea Angino , Alena Kopaničáková , Rolf Krause