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相关论文: Bias-reduced extreme quantiles estimators of Weibu…

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In this paper, we consider the problem of the estimation of a Weibull tail-coefficient. In particular, we propose a regression model, from which we derive a bias-reduced estimator. This estimator is based on a least-squares approach. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-01 J. Diebolt , L. Gardes , S. Girard , A. Guillou

We address the problem of estimating the Weibull tail-coefficient which is the regular variation exponent of the inverse failure rate function. We propose a family of estimators of this coefficient and an associate extreme quantile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

In extreme value inference it is a fundamental problem how the target value is required to be extreme by the extreme value theory. In iid settings this study both theoretically and numerically compares tail estimators, which are based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-04 Taku Moriyama

One of the main goal of extreme value analysis is to estimate the probability of rare events given a sample from an unknown distribution. The upper tail behavior of this distribution is described by the extreme value index. We present a new…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Laurent Gardes , Stephane Girard

In several different fields, there is interest in analyzing the upper or lower tail quantile of the underlying distribution rather than mean or center quantile. However, the investigation of the tail quantile is difficult because of data…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-21 Takuma Yoshida

The extreme value theory is very popular in applied sciences including Finance, economics, hydrology and many other disciplines. In univariate extreme value theory, we model the data by a suitable distribution from the general max-domain of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh

Quantile regression is an important tool for estimation of conditional quantiles of a response Y given a vector of covariates X. It can be used to measure the effect of covariates not only in the center of a distribution, but also in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-03 Victor Chernozhukov

We present a new family of estimators of the Weibull tail-coefficient. The Weibull tail-coefficient is defined as the regular variation coefficient of the inverse failure rate function. Our estimators are based on a linear combination of…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-31 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

In this paper, we investigate the extreme-value methodology, to propose an improved estimator of the conditional tail expectation ($CTE$) for a loss distribution with a finite mean but infinite variance. The present work introduces a new…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-11 Mohamed Laidi , Abdelaziz Rassoul , Hamid Ould Rouis

In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-16 Frederico Caeiro , Dora Prata Gomes

Extremal quantile regression, i.e. quantile regression applied to the tails of the conditional distribution, counts with an increasing number of economic and financial applications such as value-at-risk, production frontiers, determinants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Tetsuya Kaji

Based on suitable left-truncated or censored data, two flexible classes of $M$-estimations of Weibull tail coefficient are proposed with two additional parameters bounding the impact of extreme contamination. Asymptotic normality with…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-18 Chengping Gong , Chengxiu Ling

Quantile regression is an increasingly important empirical tool in economics and other sciences for analyzing the impact of a set of regressors on the conditional distribution of an outcome. Extremal quantile regression, or quantile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-20 Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

We revisit the model of heteroscedastic extremes initially introduced by Einmahl et al. (JRSSB, 2016) to describe the evolution of a non stationary sequence whose extremes evolve over time and adapt it into a general extreme quantile…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-06 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

The estimation of conditional quantiles at extreme tails is of great interest in numerous applications. Various methods that integrate regression analysis with an extrapolation strategy derived from extreme value theory have been proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-22 Yiwei Tang , Judy Huixia Wang , Deyuan Li

Weibull distribution is widely used in modelling health data. However, its lack of sufficient tail flexibility often results in poor fit in extreme events. We proposed another three-parameter extension of the Weibull distribution with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Isqeel Ogunsola , Nurudeen Ajadi , Gboyega Adepoju

Constant-specified and exponential concentration inequalities play an essential role in the finite-sample theory of machine learning and high-dimensional statistics area. We obtain sharper and constants-specified concentration inequalities…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei
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