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Stretched exponential probability density functions (pdf), having the form of the exponential of minus a fractional power of the argument, are commonly found in turbulence and other areas. They can arise because of an underlying random…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-30 U. Frisch , D. Sornette

We characterize the complex, heavy-tailed probability distribution functions (pdf) describing the response and its local extrema for structural systems subjected to random forcing that includes extreme events. Our approach is based on the…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-06-02 Han Kyul Joo , Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

The unknown amplitude law q(x) defining an observed effect may be found using the principle of Extreme Physical Information. EPI is derived as follows. The observations follow an information flow J --> I, with J the information intrinsic to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-06-16 B. Roy Frieden , Robert A. Gatenby

The probability density function (PDF) of flux $R$ is computed in systems with logarithmic non-linearity using a model non-linear dynamical equation. The PDF tails of the first moment flux are analytically predicted to be power law. These…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2010-03-12 Johan Anderson , Eun-jin Kim

In this letter, we present a novel exponentially embedded families (EEF) based classification method, in which the probability density function (PDF) on raw data is estimated from the PDF on features. With the PDF construction, we show that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-24 Bo Tang , Steven Kay , Haibo He , Paul M. Baggenstoss

In this paper, we investigate and develop a new approach to the numerical analysis and characterization of random fluctuations with heavy-tailed probability distribution function (PDF), such as turbulent heat flow and solar flare…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-22 Mohsen Ghasemi Nezhadhaghighi , Abbas Nakhlband

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

Over the last few decades power law distributions have been suggested as forming generative mechanisms in a variety of disparate fields, such as, astrophysics, criminology and database curation. However, fitting these heavy tailed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-08-26 Colin S. Gillespie

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Modeling heterogeneity on heavy-tailed distributions under a regression framework is challenging, and classical statistical methodologies usually place conditions on the distribution models to facilitate the learning procedure. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Jiaxi Wang , Yanxi Hou , Xingchi Li , Tiandong Wang

The subjects of the paper are the likelihood method (LM) and the expected Fisher information (FI) considered from the point od view of the construction of the physical models which originate in the statistical description of phenomena. The…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-10-08 E. W. Piotrowski , J. Sladkowski , J. Syska , S. Zajac

Rare events play a crucial role in understanding complex systems. Characterizing and analyzing them in scale-invariant situations is challenging due to strong correlations. In this work, we focus on characterizing the tails of probability…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-04-03 Ivan Balog , Bertrand Delamotte , Adam Rançon

Power-law tails are often seen in probability density functions (PDFs) of molecular cloud column densities, and have been attributed to the effect of gravity. We show that extinction PDFs of a sample of five molecular clouds obtained at a…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-24 Chris Brunt

The project of physics discovery is often equivalent to finding the most concise description of a physical system. The description with optimum predictive capability for a dataset generated by a physical system is one that minimizes both…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-21 Daniel Shea , Stephen Casey

The formula for probability density functions (PDFs) has been extended to include PDF for energy dissipation rates in addition to other PDFs such as for velocity fluctuations, velocity derivatives, fluid particle accelerations, energy…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 T. Arimitsu , N. Arimitsu

In this paper we are concerned with the analysis of heavy-tailed data when a portion of the extreme values is unavailable. This research was motivated by an analysis of the degree distributions in a large social network. The degree…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-20 Jingjing Zou , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Information theory is a powerful tool to express principles to drive autonomous systems because it is domain invariant and allows for an intuitive interpretation. This paper studies the use of the predictive information (PI), also called…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2013-07-19 Georg Martius , Ralf Der , Nihat Ay

The asymptotic convergence of probability density function (pdf) and convergence of differential entropy are examined for the non-stationary processes that follow the maximum entropy principle (MaxEnt) and maximum entropy production…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-01-14 Alexander L. Fradkov , Dmitry S. Shalymov

This article discusses modelling of the tail of a multivariate distribution function by means of a large deviation principle (LDP), and its application to the estimation of the probability of a multivariate extreme event from a sample of n…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-23 Cees de Valk

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang
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