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We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

This paper measures and compares the tail risks of limit and market orders using Extreme Value Theory. The analysis examines realised tail outcomes using the Dealing 2000-2 electronic broking system based on completed transactions rather…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-03-30 john cotter , kevin dowd

We consider a family of multivariate distributions with heavy-tailed margins and the type I elliptical dependence structure. This class of risks is common in finance, insurance, environmental and biostatistic applications. We obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-01 Kai Wang , Chengxiu Ling

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

We provide new, mild conditions for strict stationarity and ergodicity of a class of BEKK processes. By exploiting that the processes can be represented as multivariate stochastic recurrence equations, we characterize the tail behavior of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-25 Muneya Matsui , Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen

In this paper we are concerned with a sample of asymptotically independent risks. Tail asymptotic probabilities for linear combinations of randomly weighted order statistics are approximated under various assumptions, where the individual…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Alexandru V. Asimit , Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

In this article a special case of an M/G/2-queue is considered, where the two servers are exposed to two types of jobs that are distributed among the servers via a random switch. In this model the asymptotic behaviour of the workload buffer…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-07 Anita Behme , Philipp Lukas Strietzel

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

We propose a stochastic process driven by memory effect with novel distributions including both exponential and leptokurtic heavy-tailed distributions. A class of distribution is analytically derived from the continuum limit of the discrete…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-05-14 Jongwook Kim , Gabjin Oh

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Recently, increasing empirical evidence indicates the extensive existence of heavy tails in the interevent time distributions of various human behaviors. Based on the queuing theory, the Barab\'asi model and its variations suggest the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-07-26 Xiao-Pu Han , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

We investigate a family of discrete-time stationary processes defined by multiple stable integrals and renewal processes with infinite means. The model may exhibit behaviors of short-range or long-range dependence, respectively, depending…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-29 Shuyang Bai , Yizao Wang

Understanding the shape of a distribution of data is of interest to people in a great variety of fields, as it may affect the types of algorithms used for that data. We study one such problem in the framework of distribution property…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Amartya Shankha Biswas , Kavya Ravichandran , Ronitt Rubinfeld

A class of stochastic processes strongly related to random sums plays an important role in network and in finance. In this paper we study this kind of stochastic process discuss an overtime unchanged parameter and reveal its asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-20 Yu Li

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on how the tail behaviour of the mixing…

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the tail probability of the number of customers in the steady-state $M/G/1$ retrial queue with Bernoulli schedule, under the assumption that the service time distribution has a regularly…

概率论 · 数学 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Queuing models provide insight into the temporal inhomogeneity of human dynamics, characterized by the broad distribution of waiting times of individuals performing tasks. We study the queuing model of an agent trying to execute a task of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-06-05 Hang-Hyun Jo , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

In some fields of applications of stable distributions, especially in economics, it appears, that data have distributions similar to stable in a large region, but do not have such heavy tails. Our aim in this note is to propose several…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-17 Lenka Slámová , Lev B. Klebanov