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Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-20 Pooja Algikar , Lamine Mili

This work is a numerical experiment of stochastic motion of conservative Hamiltonian system or weakly damped Brownian particles. The objective is to prove the existence of path probability and to compute its values. By observing a large…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-02-09 Lin Tongling , Pujos Cyril , Ou Congjie , Bi Wenping , Calvayrac Florent , Wang Qiuping A

Large deviation functions are an essential tool in the statistics of rare events. Often they can be obtained by contraction from a so-called level 2 large deviation {\em functional} characterizing the empirical density of the underlying…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-24 Johannes Hoppenau , Daniel Nickelsen , Andreas Engel

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-21 Shifei Luo

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-11-10 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

Gaussian processes are the leading class of distributions on random functions, but they suffer from well known issues including difficulty scaling and inflexibility with respect to certain shape constraints (such as nonnegativity). Here we…

A fully discrete Lagrangian scheme for solving a family of fourth order equations numerically is presented. The discretization is based on the equation's underlying gradient flow structure w.r.t. the $L^2$-Wasserstein distance, and adapts…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-01-23 Horst Osberger

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a Bayesian nonparametric method for regression and interpolation, offering a principled way of quantifying the uncertainties of predicted function values. For the quantified uncertainties to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-22 Masha Naslidnyk , Motonobu Kanagawa , Toni Karvonen , Maren Mahsereci

We investigate unbiased high-dimensional mean estimators in differential privacy. We consider differentially private mechanisms whose expected output equals the mean of the input dataset, for every dataset drawn from a fixed bounded…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-22 Aleksandar Nikolov , Haohua Tang

Spectral approximation and variational inducing learning for the Gaussian process are two popular methods to reduce computational complexity. However, in previous research, those methods always tend to adopt the orthonormal basis functions,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-15 Wenqi Fang , Guanlin Wu , Jingjing Li , Zheng Wang , Jiang Cao , Yang Ping

Estimating the entropy rate of discrete time series is a challenging problem with important applications in numerous areas including neuroscience, genomics, image processing and natural language processing. A number of approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Gaussian processes scale prohibitively with the size of the dataset. In response, many approximation methods have been developed, which inevitably introduce approximation error. This additional source of uncertainty, due to limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-11 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham

We investigate the Large Deviation behavior in small time of continuous Gaussian processes. We introduce a general procedure allowing to derive Large Deviation Principles in small time starting from the well understood context of Large…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-11 Paolo Baldi , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

Analysis of extremal behavior of stochastic processes is a key ingredient in a wide variety of applications, including probability, statistical physics, theoretical computer science, and learning theory. In this paper, we consider centered…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-19 Yifeng Chu , Maxim Raginsky

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

This paper is concerned with the study of the embedding circulant matrix method to simulate stationary complex-valued Gaussian sequences. The method is, in particular, shown to be well-suited to generate circularly-symmetric stationary…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-04 Jean-Francois Coeurjolly , Emilio Porcu

In this paper, we propose a method to approximate the Gaussian function on ${\mathbb R}$ by a short cosine sum. We generalise and extend the differential approximation method proposed in [4, 40] to approximate $\mathrm{e}^{-t^{2}/2\sigma}$…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-05-23 Nadiia Derevianko , Gerlind Plonka

We introduce a new method for analyzing midpoint discretizations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are frequently used in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling from a target measure $\pi \propto \exp(-V)$.…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-07-18 Matthew S. Zhang