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Traditional mathematical models of epidemic disease had for decades conventionally considered static structure for contacts. Recently, an upsurge of theoretical inquiry has strived towards rendering the models more realistic by…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-01-20 Babak Fotouhi , Mehrdad Khani Shirkoohi

Epidemiological contact network models have emerged as an important tool in understanding and predicting the spread of infectious disease, due to their capacity to engage individual heterogeneity that may underlie essential dynamics of a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-10-28 Jack Leitch , Kathleen A. Alexander , Srijan Sengupta

This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

We study by analytical methods and large scale simulations a dynamical model for the spreading of epidemics in complex networks. In networks with exponentially bounded connectivity we recover the usual epidemic behavior with a threshold…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Most infectious diseases spread on a dynamic network of human interactions. Recent studies of social dynamics have provided evidence that spreading patterns may depend strongly on detailed micro-dynamics of the social system. We have…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-23 Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Sandy Pentland , Sune Lehmann

The structure of sexual contacts, its contacts network and its temporal interactions, play an important role in the spread of sexually transmitted infections. Unfortunately, that kind of data is very hard to obtain. One of the few…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Alexsandro M. Carvalho , Sebastian Goncalves

To be able to understand how infectious diseases spread on networks, it is important to understand the network structure itself in the absence of infection. In this text we consider dynamic network models that are inspired by the (static)…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-03-08 Ka Yin Leung , Mirjam Kretzschmar , Odo Diekmann

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Many progresses in the understanding of epidemic spreading models have been obtained thanks to numerous modeling efforts and analytical and numerical studies, considering host populations with very different structures and properties,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-02 Antoine Moinet , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

The science of networks has revolutionised research into the dynamics of interacting elements. It could be argued that epidemiology in particular has embraced the potential of network theory more than any other discipline. Here we review…

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

Most previous studies of epidemic dynamics on complex networks suppose that the disease will eventually stabilize at either a disease-free state or an endemic one. In reality, however, some epidemics always exhibit sporadic and recurrent…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-11-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Michael Small , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu

The contact structure between hosts has a critical influence on disease spread. However, most networkbased models used in epidemiology tend to ignore heterogeneity in the weighting of contacts. This assumption is known to be at odds with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-09-03 Christel Kamp , Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre , Samuel Alizon

Network epidemiology's most important assumption is that the contact structure over which infectious diseases propagate can be represented as a static network. However, contacts are highly dynamic, changing at many time scales. In this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Petter Holme

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers

In the study of infectious diseases on networks, researchers calculate epidemic thresholds to help forecast whether a disease will eventually infect a large fraction of a population. Because network structure typically changes in time,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-11 Qinyi Chen , Mason A. Porter

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Analytical studies of network epidemiology almost exclusively focus on the extreme situations where the time scales of network dynamics are well separated (longer or shorter) from that of epidemic propagation. In realistic scenarios,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-16 Chao-Ran Cai , Yuan-Yuan Nie , Petter Holme
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