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We consider a family of multivariate distributions with heavy-tailed margins and the type I elliptical dependence structure. This class of risks is common in finance, insurance, environmental and biostatistic applications. We obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-01 Kai Wang , Chengxiu Ling

The concept of intermediate tail dependence is useful if one wants to quantify the degree of positive dependence in the tails when there is no strong evidence of presence of the usual tail dependence. We first review existing studies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-05 Lei Hua , Harry Joe

Tail dependence refers to clustering of extreme events. In the context of financial risk management, the clustering of high-severity risks has a devastating effect on the well-being of firms and is thus of pivotal importance in risk…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Alexey Kuznetsov , Jianxi Su , Ricardas Zitikis

In this paper, we compute multivariate tail risk probabilities where the marginal risks are heavy-tailed and the dependence structure is a Gaussian copula. The marginal heavy-tailed risks are modeled using regular variation which leads to a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-04-12 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Gaussian scale mixtures are constructed as Gaussian processes with a random variance. They have non-Gaussian marginals and can exhibit asymptotic dependence unlike Gaussian processes, which are asymptotically independent except in the case…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-31 Raphael Huser , Thomas Opitz , Emeric Thibaud

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-15 Fan Yang , Yi Zhang

In this paper we are concerned with a sample of asymptotically independent risks. Tail asymptotic probabilities for linear combinations of randomly weighted order statistics are approximated under various assumptions, where the individual…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Alexandru V. Asimit , Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

Normal copula with a correlation coefficient between $-1$ and $1$ is tail independent and so it severely underestimates extreme probabilities. By letting the correlation coefficient in a normal copula depend on the sample size, H\"usler and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-04 Xin Liao , Liang Peng , Zuoxiang Peng , Yanting Zheng

We demonstrate both analytically and numerically that the existing methods for measuring tail dependence in copulas may sometimes underestimate the extent of extreme co-movements of dependent risks and, therefore, may not always comply with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-19 Edward Furman , Jianxi Su , Ričardas Zitikis

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We introduce a new functional measure of tail dependence for weakly dependent (asymptotically independent) random vectors, termed weak tail dependence function. The new measure is defined at the level of copulas and we compute it for…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-27 Peter Tankov

Tail dependence plays an essential role in the characterization of joint extreme events in multivariate data. However, most standard tail dependence parameters assume continuous margins. This note presents a form of tail dependence suitable…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Victory Idowu

Dependence modeling of multivariate count data has garnered significant attention in recent years. Multivariate elliptical copulas are typically preferred in statistical literature to analyze dependence between repeated measurements of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of the product of two dependent Weibull-type risks, which is of interest in various statistical and applied probability problems. Our results extend some recent findings of Schlueter and Fischer…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-12 E. Hashorva , Z. Weng

Quantifying tail dependence is an important issue in insurance and risk management. The prevalent tail dependence coefficient (TDC), however, is known to underestimate the degree of tail dependence and it does not capture non-exchangeable…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-14 Takaaki Koike , Shogo Kato , Marius Hofert

We propose a Gaussian-copula-based framework that learns deal-level dependence directly from observed joint success frequencies across founder, geography, and market attributes. Holding marginal deal success probabilities fixed, deal-level…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-28 Yunqi Liang , Hasan Ugur Koyluoglu , Fuat Alican , Yigit Ihlamur

When modeling multivariate phenomena, properly capturing the joint extremal behavior is often one of the many concerns. Archimax copulas appear as successful candidates in case of asymptotic dependence. In this paper, the class of Archimax…

A complete and user-friendly directory of tails of Archimedean copulas is presented which can be used in the selection and construction of appropriate models with desired properties. The results are synthesized in the form of a decision…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-13 Arthur Charpentier , Johan Segers

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade
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