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We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

In a recent paper by the authors, a new approach--called the "embedding method"--was introduced, which allows to make use of exchangeable pairs for normal and multivariate normal approximation with Stein's method in cases where the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-18 Gesine Reinert , Adrian Röllin

This work investigates the optimal selection of the $m$th last success in a sequence of $n$ independent Bernoulli trials. We propose a threshold strategy that is $\varepsilon$-optimal under minimal assumptions about the monotonicity of the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-13 Zakaria Derbazi

Considering two random variables with different laws to which we only have access through finite size iid samples, we address how to reweight the first sample so that its empirical distribution converges towards the true law of the second…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-08 Julien Reygner , Adrien Touboul

We derive streamlined mean field variational Bayes algorithms for fitting linear mixed models with crossed random effects. In the most general situation, where the dimensions of the crossed groups are arbitrarily large, streamlining is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Marianne Menictas , Gioia Di Credico , Matt P. Wand

Stein's method is used to obtain two theorems on multivariate normal approximation. Our main theorem, Theorem 1.2, provides a bound on the distance to normality for any nonnegative random vector. Theorem 1.2 requires multivariate size bias…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Yosef Rinott

We consider in this paper the semiparametric mixture of two distributions equal up to a shift parameter. The model is said to be semiparametric in the sense that the mixed distribution is not supposed to belong to a parametric family. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-10 Cristina Butucea , Pierre Vandekerkhove

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

This paper is concerned with making Bayesian inference from data that are assumed to be drawn from a Bingham distribution. A barrier to the Bayesian approach is the parameter-dependent normalising constant of the Bingham distribution,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-01-14 Christopher J. Fallaize , Theodore Kypraios

Stein's (1972) method is a very general tool for assessing the quality of approximation of the distribution of a random element by another, often simpler, distribution. In applications of Stein's method, one needs to establish a Stein…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Andrew D. Barbour , Vydas Cekanavicius , Aihua Xia

Stein's method has been widely used for probability approximations. However, in the multi-dimensional setting, most of the results are for multivariate normal approximation or for test functions with bounded second- or higher-order…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-16 Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao , Lihu Xu

In this paper we give a historical account of the development of Poisson approximation using Stein's method and present some of the main results. We give two recent applications, one on maximal arithmetic progressions and the other on…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-09 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin

We provide a general result for bounding the difference between point probabilities of integer supported distributions and the translated Poisson distribution, a convenient alternative to the discretized normal. We illustrate our theorem in…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-05 A. D. Barbour , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

We prove limit theorems for the number of fixed points occurring in a random pattern-avoiding permutation distributed according to a one-parameter family of biased distributions. The bias parameter exponentially tilts the distribution…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-11 Aksheytha Chelikavada , Hugo Panzo

Grouped data are commonly encountered in applications. The Bernstein polynomial model is proposed as an approximate model in this paper for estimating a univariate density function based on grouped data. The coefficients of the Bernstein…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-21 Zhong Guan

We explore asymptotically optimal bounds for deviations of distributions of independent Bernoulli random variables from the Poisson limit in terms of the Shannon relative entropy and R\'enyi/Tsallis relative distances (including Pearson's…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-15 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

This article proposes a bivariate Simplex distribution for modeling continuous outcomes constrained to the interval $(0,1)$, which can represent proportions, rates, or indices. We derive analytical expressions to calculate the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-03 Emerson Amaral , Lucas S. Vieira , Lizandra C. Fabio , Vanessa Barros , Jalmar M. F. Carrasco

Let F ($\nu$) be the centered Gamma law with parameter $\nu$ > 0 and let us denote by P Y the probability distribution of a random vector Y. We develop a multidimensional variant of the Stein's method for Gamma approximation that allows to…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-10 Ciprian A Tudor , Jérémy Zurcher

Motivated by a theorem of Barbour, we revisit some of the classical limit theorems in probability from the viewpoint of the Stein method. We setup the framework to bound Wasserstein distances between some distributions on infinite…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-30 Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond

The paper gives a wide range, uniform, local approximation of symmetric binomial distribution. The result clearly shows how one has to modify the the classical de Moivre--Laplace normal approximation in order to give an estimate at the tail…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Tamás Szabados