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We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Daniel Yekutieli

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is a flexible and useful model which has been used in several fields. In this paper, a new bimodal version of this distribution based on the alpha-skew-normal distribution is established. We discuss some…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-27 Roberto Vila , Jeremias Leão , Helton Saulo , Mirza Nabeed , Manoel Santos-Neto

It is shown that the method of exchangeable pairs introduced by Stein [Approximate Computation of Expectations (1986) IMS, Hayward, CA] for normal approximation can effectively be used for translated Poisson approximation. Introducing an…

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-06 Adrian Röllin

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

We consider distributional approximation by generalized Dickman distributions, which appear in number theory, perpetuities, logarithmic combinatorial structures and many other areas. We prove bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-21 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Matthias Schulte

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

The last success problem is an optimal stopping problem that aims to maximize the probability of stopping on the last success in a sequence of independent $n$ Bernoulli trials. In the classical setting where complete information about the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-07-24 Toru Yoshinaga , Yasushi Kawase

In this paper, a new three-parameter lifetime distribution is introduced and many of its standard properties are discussed. These include shape of the probability density function, hazard rate function and its shape, quantile function,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-21 Min Wang

In this paper, we consider the sums of non-negative integer valued $m$-dependent random variables, and its approximation to the power series distribution. We first discuss some relevant results for power series distribution such as Stein…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-05 Amit N. Kumar , Neelesh S. Upadhye , P. Vellaisamy

This paper presents a detailed theoretical analysis of the three stochastic approximation proximal gradient algorithms proposed in our companion paper [49] to set regularization parameters by marginal maximum likelihood estimation. We prove…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Ana F. Vidal , Marcelo Pereyra

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

In this paper, we develop a general theory of truncated inverse binomial sampling. In this theory, the fixed-size sampling and inverse binomial sampling are accommodated as special cases. In particular, the classical Chernoff-Hoeffding…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-20 Xinjia Chen

Two approximations are frequently used in statistical physics: the first one, which we shall name the mean values approximation, is generally (and improperly) named as "maximum term approximation". The second is the "Stirling…

综合物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Conrado Hoffmann

Estimating probability distributions which describe where an object is likely to be from camera data is a task with many applications. In this work we describe properties which we argue such methods should conform to. We also design a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-10 David Mohlin , Josephine Sullivan

Preferential attachment probabilities scheme appear in the context of scale free random graphs [1],[2]. In this work we present preferential attachment probabilities scheme as a sequence of dependent Bernoulli random variables and we give…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Andrea Monsellato

We present a least squares method for estimating parameters from measurements of event yields in the presence of background and crossfeed. We adopt a unified approach to incorporating the statistical and systematic uncertainties on the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Werner M. Sun

We investigate statistical inference across time scales. We take as toy model the estimation of the intensity of a discretely observed compound Poisson process with symmetric Bernoulli jumps. We have data at different time scales:…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-06-07 Céline Duval , Marc Hoffmann

We present new sampling methods in finite population that allow to control the joint inclusion probabilities of units and especially the spreading of sampled units in the population. They are based on the use of renewal chains and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité , Matthieu Wilhelm

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa