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相关论文: A Monte Carlo Algorithm for Sampling Rare Events: …

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We apply numerical simulations to study the criticality of the 3D Ising model with random site quenched dilution. The emphasis is given to the issues not being discussed in detail before. In particular, we attempt a comparison of different…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-04-03 D. Ivaneyko , J. Ilnytskyi , B. Berche , Yu. Holovatch

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. Importance Sampling (IS) is a well-known Monte Carlo technique that approximates…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , G. Camps-Valls

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for the simulation of rare events when the underlying dynamics is given by a diffusion. The scheme is based on a Gibbs variational principle that is used to determine the optimal (i.e.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-24 Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Lorenz Richter

Rare event probability estimation is an important topic in reliability analysis. Stochastic methods, such as importance sampling, have been developed to estimate such probabilities but they often fail in high dimension. In this paper, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-24 Maxime El-Masri , Jérôme Morio , Florian Simatos

A new Monte Carlo algorithm for 2-dimensional spin glasses is presented. The use of clusters makes possible global updates and leads to a gain in speed of several orders of magnitude. As an example, we study the 2-dimensional +/-J…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 J. Houdayer

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

Although numerous algorithms have been proposed to solve the categorical data clustering problem, how to access the statistical significance of a set of categorical clusters remains unaddressed. To fulfill this void, we employ the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-09 Lianyu Hu , Mudi Jiang , Yan Liu , Zengyou He

Prior works have shown that in-context learning is brittle to presentation factors such as the order, number, and choice of selected examples. However, ablation-based guidance on selecting the number of examples may ignore the interplay…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Stephanie Schoch , Yangfeng Ji

The efficient evaluation of high-dimensional integrals is of importance in both theoretical and practical fields of science, such as data science, statistical physics, and machine learning. However, exact computation methods suffer from the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-15 Radislav Vaisman , Robert Salomone , Dirk P. Kroese

We study the three-dimensional Ising model at the critical point in the fixed-magnetization ensemble, by means of the recently developed geometric cluster Monte Carlo algorithm. We define a magnetic-field-like quantity in terms of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 H. W. J. Blöte , J. R. Heringa , M. M. Tsypin

We present iterative Monte Carlo algorithm for which the temperature variable is attracted by a critical point. The algorithm combines techniques of single histogram reweighting and linear filtering. The 2d Ising model of ferromagnet is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 M. Gmitra , D. Horvath

We introduce a method that uses the Cauchy-Crofton formula and a new curvature formula from integral geometry to reweight the sampling probabilities of Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithms in order to increase their convergence speed. We…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-13 Oren Mangoubi , Alan Edelman

We use the single-cluster Monte Carlo update algorithm to simulate the Ising model on two-dimensional Poissonian random lattices with up to 80,000 sites which are linked together according to the Voronoi/Delaunay prescription. In one set of…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2009-09-25 W. Janke , M. Katoot , R. Villanova

In this paper, we consider an importance sampling problem for a certain rare-event simulations involving the behavior of a diffusion process pertaining to a chain of distributed systems with random perturbations. We also assume that the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-26 Getachew K. Befekadu

We discuss modern ideas in Monte Carlo algorithms in the simplified setting of the one-dimensional anharmonic oscillator. After reviewing the connection between molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo, we introduce to the Metropolis and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-08-07 Gabriele Tartero , Werner Krauth

Importance sampling (IS) is a Monte Carlo technique for the approximation of intractable distributions and integrals with respect to them. The origin of IS dates from the early 1950s. In the last decades, the rise of the Bayesian paradigm…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino