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A sum of observations derived by a simple random sampling design from a population of independent random variables is studied. A procedure finding a general term of Edgeworth asymptotic expansion is presented. The Lindeberg condition of…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Ibrahim Bin Mohamed , Sherzod M. Mirakhmedov

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\'er's moderate deviation expansions for…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

We introduce methods to bound the mean of a discrete distribution (or finite population) based on sample data, for random variables with a known set of possible values. In particular, the methods can be applied to categorical data with…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-16 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

We give a general setting for Cram\'er's large deviations theorem for the empirical means of a field of random vectors, which contains Cram\'er's theorem for i.i.d. random vectors and Sanov's theorem for asymptotically decoupled measures.…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-24 Raphaël Cerf , Pierre Petit

We prove large and moderate deviation principles for the distribution of an empirical mean conditioned by the value of the sum of discrete i.i.d. random variables. Some applications for combinatoric problems are discussed.

概率论 · 数学 2007-07-11 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Clémentine Prieur

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-30 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski

A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-28 Qi-Man Shao , Mengchen Zhang , Zhuo-Song Zhang

Let {(X_i,Y_i)}_{i=1}^n be a sequence of independent bivariate random vectors. In this paper, we establish a refined Cram\'er type moderate deviation theorem for the general self-normalized sum \sum_{i=1}^n X_i/(\sum_{i=1}^n Y_i^2)^{1/2},…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-29 Lan Gao , Qi-Man Shao , Jiasheng Shi

In this paper, we study the classical problem of estimating the proportion of a finite population. First, we consider a fixed sample size method and derive an explicit sample size formula which ensures a mixed criterion of absolute and…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-02-03 Xinjia Chen

A new test of independence between random elements is presented in this article. The test is based on a functional of the Cram\'{e}r-von Mises type, which is applied to a $U$-process that is defined from the recurrence rates. Theorems of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-12 Juan Kalemkerian , Diego Fernández

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem for double-index permutation statistics (DIPS). To the best of our knowledge, previous results only provided Berry-Esseen type bounds for DIPS, which cannot yield moderate deviation…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-27 Songhao Liu , Qiman Shao , Jingyu Xu

The paper proposes some robust estimators of the finite population mean. Such estimators are particularly suitable in the presence of some outlying observations. Included as special cases of our general result are robust versions of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Malay Ghosh

Large sampling intervals can affect reconstruction of Kramers-Moyal coefficients from data. A new method, which is direct, non-stochastic and exact up to numerical accuracy, can estimate these finite-time effects. For the first time, exact…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Steven J. Lade

In these notes we present a pedagogical account of the population dynamics methods recently introduced to simulate large deviation functions of dynamical observables in and out of equilibrium. After a brief introduction on large deviation…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-02-23 J. Tailleur , V. Lecomte

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-10-05 Paolo Rossi

A method is introduced for studying large deviations in the context of statistical physics of disordered systems. The approach, based on an extension of the cavity method to atypical realizations of the quenched disorder, allows us to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Olivier Rivoire

We obtain some optimal inequalities on tail probabilities for sums of independent bounded random variables. Our main result completes an upper bound on tail probabilities due to Talagrand by giving a one-term asymptotic expansion for large…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Rare trajectories of stochastic systems are important to understand -- because of their potential impact. However, their properties are by definition difficult to sample directly. Population dynamics provides a numerical tool allowing their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-07-03 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Takahiro Nemoto , Vivien Lecomte

The critical behavior of a quenched random hypercubic sample of linear size $L$ is considered, within the ``random-$T_{c}$'' field-theoretical mode, by using the renormalization group method. A finite-size scaling behavior is established…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 H. Chamati , E. Korutcheva , N. S. Tonchev

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin