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相关论文: On the Computational Complexity of MCMC-based Esti…

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We introduce new Gaussian proposals to improve the efficiency of the standard Hastings-Metropolis algorithm in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, used for the sampling from a target distribution in large dimension $d$. The improved…

An MCMC simulation method based on a two stage delayed rejection Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is proposed to estimate a factor multivariate stochastic volatility model. The first stage uses kstep iteration towards the mode, with k small,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-02-11 Weijun Xu , Li Yang , Robert Kohn

Piecewise-Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) hold significant promise for sampling from complex probability distributions. However, their practical implementation is hindered by the need to compute model-specific bounds. Conversely,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Matthew Sutton

The Metropolis process (MP) and Simulated Annealing (SA) are stochastic local search heuristics that are often used in solving combinatorial optimization problems. Despite significant interest, there are very few theoretical results…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-12-22 Zongchen Chen , Dan Mikulincer , Daniel Reichman , Alexander S. Wein

We propose an efficient meta-algorithm for Bayesian estimation problems that is based on low-degree polynomials, semidefinite programming, and tensor decomposition. The algorithm is inspired by recent lower bound constructions for…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2017-10-04 Samuel B. Hopkins , David Steurer

Bayesian inference in the presence of an intractable likelihood function is computationally challenging. When following a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to approximate the posterior distribution in this context, one typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-03 Johan Alenlöv , Arnaud Doucet , Fredrik Lindsten

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

Despite recent advances, sampling-based inference for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) remains a significant challenge in probabilistic deep learning. While sampling-based approaches do not require a variational distribution assumption,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Emanuel Sommer , Jakob Robnik , Giorgi Nozadze , Uros Seljak , David Rügamer

We investigate the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to sample posterior distribution in a Bayesian inverse problem, where the likelihood function is random. Concretely, we consider the case where one has full field observations of a…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-20 Emil Løvbak , Sebastian Krumscheid

We study Bayesian inversion for a model elliptic PDE with unknown diffusion coefficient. We provide complexity analyses of several Markov Chain-Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the efficient numerical evaluation of expectations under the…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-05-01 Viet Ha Hoang , Christoph Schwab , Andrew M. Stuart

Estimating copulas with discrete marginal distributions is challenging, especially in high dimensions, because computing the likelihood contribution of each observation requires evaluating $2^{J}$ terms, with $J$ the number of discrete…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-12 D. Gunawan , M. -N. Tran , K. Suzuki , J. Dick , R. Kohn

Gaussian latent tree models, or more generally, Gaussian latent forest models have Fisher-information matrices that become singular along interesting submodels, namely, models that correspond to subforests. For these singularities, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-24 Mathias Drton , Shaowei Lin , Luca Weihs , Piotr Zwiernik

We derive a functional central limit theorem for the excursion of a random walk conditioned on sweeping a prescribed geometric area. We assume that the increments of the random walk are integer-valued, centered, with a third moment equal to…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-30 Philippe Carmona , Nicolas Pétrélis

Motivated by open problems in applied and computational algebraic topology, we establish multivariate normal approximation theorems for three random vectors which arise organically in the study of random clique complexes. These are: (1) the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-22 Tadas Temčinas , Vidit Nanda , Gesine Reinert

This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a function of its summands as their number tends to infinity. In the large deviation range of the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-09-08 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods provide an essential tool in statistics for sampling from complex probability distributions. While the standard approach to MCMC involves constructing discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Andrew Duncan

The independence sampler is one of the most commonly used MCMC algorithms usually as a component of a Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithm. The common focus for the independence sampler is on the choice of proposal distribution to obtain an as…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-10-04 Peter Neal , Clement Lee

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have received much attention in Bayesian computing for big data problems, but they are only applicable to a small class of problems for which the parameter space has a fixed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-10 Qifan Song , Yan Sun , Mao Ye , Faming Liang

We study the problem of approximately counting cliques and near cliques in a graph, where the access to the graph is only available through crawling its vertices; thus typically seeing only a small portion of it. This model, known as the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-12-09 Suman K. Bera , Jayesh Choudhari , Shahrzad Haddadan , Sara Ahmadian

Bayesian inference for doubly-intractable pairwise exponential graphical models typically involves variations of the exchange algorithm or approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers. However, existing methods for both classes of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Yujie Chen , Antik Chakraborty , Anindya Bhadra