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Power-law distributions have been widely observed in different areas of scientific research. Practical estimation issues include how to select a threshold above which observations follow a power-law distribution and then how to estimate the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-13 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sidney I. Resnick , Tiandong Wang

We study maximum likelihood estimation in log-linear models under conditional Poisson sampling schemes. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-24 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-16 Frederico Caeiro , Dora Prata Gomes

Maximum likelihood estimation is effective for identifying dynamical systems, but applying it to large networks becomes computationally prohibitive. This paper introduces a maximum likelihood estimation method that enables identification of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-06 João Victor Galvão da Mata , Anders Hansson , Martin S. Andersen

We define in a probabilistic way a parametric family of multivariate extreme value distributions. We derive its copula, which is a mixture of several complete dependent copulas and total independent copulas, and the bivariate tail…

概率论 · 数学 2012-03-09 Helena Ferreira

We propose an efficient algorithm for approximate computation of the profile maximum likelihood (PML), a variant of maximum likelihood maximizing the probability of observing a sufficient statistic rather than the empirical sample. The PML…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-12-21 Dmitri S. Pavlichin , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

We introduce a new generalization of the Pseudo-Lindley distribution by applying alpha power transformation. The obtained distribution is referred as the Pseudo-Lindley alpha power transformed distribution (\textit{PL-APT}). Some tractable…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-20 Modou Ngom , Moumouni Diallo , Adja Mbarka Fall , Gane Samb Lo

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

In this paper non-asymptotic exact exponential estimates are derived for the tail of maximum distribution of random field in the terms of majoring measures or, equally, generic chaining.

概率论 · 数学 2008-02-05 E. Ostrovsky , E. Rogover

Motivated by the empirical observation of power-law distributions in the credits (e.g., ``likes'') of viral posts in social media, we introduce a high-dimensional tail index regression model and propose methods for estimation and inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Yuya Sasaki , Jing Tao , Yulong Wang

We study the Bouchaud-M\'ezard model on a regular random network. By assuming adiabaticity and independency, and utilizing the generalized central limit theorem and the Tauberian theorem, we derive an equation that determines the exponent…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2013-08-01 Takashi Ichinomiya

It is well known that random multiplicative processes generate power-law probability distributions. We study how the spatio-temporal correlation of the multipliers influences the power-law exponent. We investigate two sources of the time…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2016-03-16 Satoru Morita

We consider a one-dimensional recurrent random walk in random environment (RWRE) when the environment is i.i.d. with a parametric, finitely supported distribution. Based on a single observation of the path, we provide a maximum likelihood…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-10 Francis Comets , Mikael Falconnet , Oleg Loukianov , Dasha Loukianova

A power law degree distribution is established for a graph evolution model based on the graph class of k-trees. This k-tree-based graph process can be viewed as an idealized model that captures some characteristics of the preferential…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2008-11-27 Yong Gao

It was experimentally observed that the majority of real-world networks follow power law degree distribution. The aim of this paper is to study the algorithmic complexity of such "typical" networks. The contribution of this work is twofold.…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-07-10 Paweł Brach , Marek Cygan , Jakub Łącki , Piotr Sankowski

In this paper we consider the estimation problem for high quantiles of a heavy-tailed distribution from block data when only a few largest values are observed within blocks. We propose estimators for high quantiles and prove that these…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-27 Yongcheng Qi , Mengzi Xie , Jingping Yang

Over the last decades, impressive progresses have been made in many experimental domains, e.g. microscopic techniques such as single-particle tracking, leading to plethoric amounts of data. In a large variety of systems, from natural to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-06-03 Xavier Durang , Hyerim Ahn , Jae Youn Shim , Hye Yoon Park , Jae-Hyung Jeon

The power law is useful in describing count phenomena such as network degrees and word frequencies. With a single parameter, it captures the main feature that the frequencies are linear on the log-log scale. Nevertheless, there have been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-07-24 Clement Lee , Emma Eastoe , Aiden Farrell

An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-10 Ross D. Shachter