交易与市场微观结构
Rather than directly predicting future prices or returns, we follow a more recent trend in asset management and classify the state of a market based on labels. We use numerous standard labels and even construct our own ones. The labels rely…
We present results demonstrating that an appropriately configured deep learning neural network (DLNN) can automatically learn to be a high-performing algorithmic trading system, operating purely from training-data inputs generated by…
We study the problem of the intraday short-term volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange markets. The predictions are built by using transaction and order book data from different markets where the exchange takes place.…
This thesis serves three primary purposes, first of which is to forecast two stocks, i.e. Goldman Sachs (GS) and General Electric (GE). In order to forecast stock prices, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) model in which we inputted…
We explore the competitive effects of reaction time of automated trading strategies in simulated financial markets containing a single exchange with public limit order book and continuous double auction matching. A large body of research…
Previous research has found that high-frequency traders will vary the bid or offer price rapidly over periods of milliseconds. This is a benefit to fast traders who can time their trades with microsecond precision, however it is a cost to…
How do you value companies which have IPOed recently? How do you compare them amongst their peers? Valuing companies using a linear extrapolation of their revenues and profits leads to an ingenious method to benchmark stocks against each…
Inspired by the developments in deep generative models, we propose a model-based RL approach, coined Reinforced Deep Markov Model (RDMM), designed to integrate desirable properties of a reinforcement learning algorithm acting as an…
In a one-sided limit order book, satisfying some realistic assumptions, where the unaffected price process follows a Levy process, we consider a market agent that wants to liquidate a large position of shares. We assume that the agent has…
We consider a market impact game for $n$ risk-averse agents that are competing in a market model with linear transient price impact and additional transaction costs. For both finite and infinite time horizons, the agents aim to minimize a…
Many empirical studies have discussed market liquidity, which is regarded as a measure of a booming financial market. Further, various indicators for objectively evaluating market liquidity have also been proposed and their merits have been…
A leveraged ETF is a fund aimed at achieving a rate of return several times greater than that of the underlying asset such as Nikkei 225 futures. Recently, it has been suggested that rebalancing trades of a leveraged ETF may destabilize the…
\noindent We address the issue of market making on electronic markets when taking into account the clustering and long memory properties of market order flows. We consider a market model with one market maker and order flows driven by…
In this paper we show how risk-averse reinforcement learning can be used to hedge options. We apply a state-of-the-art risk-averse algorithm: Trust Region Volatility Optimization (TRVO) to a vanilla option hedging environment, considering…
Recently, most stock exchanges in the U.S. employ maker-taker fees, in which an exchange pays rebates to traders placing orders in the order book and charges fees to traders taking orders from the order book. Maker-taker fees encourage…
The present work addresses theoretical and practical questions in the domain of Deep Learning for High Frequency Trading. State-of-the-art models such as Random models, Logistic Regressions, LSTMs, LSTMs equipped with an Attention mask,…
Using the most comprehensive, commercially-available dataset of trading activity in U.S. equity markets, we catalog and analyze quote dislocations between the SIP National Best Bid and Offer (NBBO) and a synthetic BBO constructed from…
A Higher Order Markovian (HOM) model to capture the dynamics of commodity prices is proposed as an alternative to a Markovian model. In particular, the order of the former model, is taken to be the delay, in the response of the industry, to…
We introduce a new matching design for financial transactions in an electronic market. In this mechanism, called ad-hoc electronic auction design (AHEAD), market participants can trade between themselves at a fixed price and trigger an…
Pairs trading is a strategy based on exploiting mean reversion in prices of securities. It has been shown to generate significant excess returns, but its profitability has dropped significantly in recent periods. We employ the most common…