统计理论

We develop a constant-tracking likelihood theory for two nonregular models: the folded normal and finite Gaussian mixtures. For the folded normal, we prove boundary coercivity for the profiled likelihood, show that the profile path of the…

Modern large-scale data analysis increasingly faces the challenge of achieving computational efficiency as well as statistical accuracy, as classical statistically efficient methods often fall short in the first regard. In the context of…

In this work, we explore the theoretical properties of conditional deep generative models under the statistical framework of distribution regression where the response variable lies in a high-dimensional ambient space but concentrates…

It is shown that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a univariate log-concave probability density satisfies desirable consistency properties in the tail regions. Specifically, let $P$ and $f$ denote the true underlying…

This paper aims to examine the characteristics of the posterior distribution of covariance/precision matrices in a "large $p$, large $n$" scenario, where $p$ represents the number of variables and $n$ is the sample size. Our analysis…

We establish a precise connection between statistical significance in dependence testing and information-theoretic dependence as quantified by Shannon mutual information (MI). In the absence of prior distributional information, we consider…

We study extremal conditional independence for H\"{u}sler-Reiss distributions, which is a parametric subclass of multivariate Pareto distributions. As the main contribution, we introduce two set functions, i.e.~functions which assign a…

In this paper, we study discrete Lyapunov models, which consist of steady-state distributions of first-order vector autoregressive models. The parameter matrix of such a model encodes a directed graph whose vertices correspond to the…

Adaptive sampling schemes are well known to create complex dependence that may invalidate conventional inference methods. A recent line of work shows that this need not be the case for UCB-type algorithms in multi-armed bandits. A central…

This paper investigates a general regularization framework for unsupervised domain adaptation in vector-valued regression under the covariate shift assumption, utilizing vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (vRKHS). Covariate…

Local Polynomial Regression (LPR) and Moving Least Squares (MLS) are closely related nonparametric estimation methods, developed independently in statistics and approximation theory. While statistical LPR analysis focuses on overcoming…

Training deep learning neural networks often requires massive amounts of computational ressources. We propose to sequentially monitor network predictions to trigger retraining only if the predictions are no longer valid. This can reduce…

We establish a negative moment bound for the sample autocovariance matrix of a stationary process driven by conditional heteroscedastic errors. This moment bound enables us to asymptotically express the mean squared prediction error (MSPE)…

Forecasts of multivariate probability distributions are required for a variety of applications. Scoring rules enable the evaluation of forecast accuracy, and comparison between forecasting methods. We propose a theoretical framework for…

We develop a fully intrinsic Bayesian framework for nonparametric regression on the unit sphere based on isotropic Gaussian field priors and the harmonic structure induced by the Laplace-Beltrami operator. Under uniform random design, the…

We study the computational phase transition in a multi-frequency group synchronization problem, where pairwise relative measurements of group elements are observed across multiple frequency channels and corrupted by Gaussian noise. Using…

We study the asymptotic behavior of least-squares cross-validation bandwidth selection in kernel density estimation on the $d$-dimensional hypersphere, $d\geq 1$. We show that the exact rate of convergence with respect to the optimal…

In this paper, we consider a partial deconvolution kernel estimator for nonparametric regression when some covariates are measured with error while others are observed without error. We focus on a general and realistic setting in which the…

We consider the problem of graph matching for a sequence of graphs generated under a time-dependent Markov chain noise model. Our edgelighter error model, a variant of the classical lamplighter random walk, iteratively corrupts the graph…

This study investigates component wise estimation of ordered variances of scale mixture of two normal distributions. For this study two special loss functions are considered namely squared error loss function and entropy loss function. We…