概率论

We prove that the set of thick points of the log-correlated Gaussian field contains an unbounded path in sufficiently high dimensions. This contrasts with the two-dimensional case, where Aru, Papon, and Powell (2023) showed that the set of…

In this paper, we derive a precise estimate for the mean extinction time of the contact process with a fixed infection rate on a star graph with $N$ leaves. Specifically, we determine not only the exponential main factor but also the exact…

We show that a site percolation is a stronger model than a bond percolation. We use the van den Berg -- Kesten (vdBK) inequality to prove that site percolation on a neighborhood of a vertex of degree $4$ cannot be simulated even…

We extend the recent result of Park and Pham concerning the positive selector process to canonical processes generated by i.i.d. nonnegative random variables satisfying minimal tail assumptions. We also provide a result of the same nature…

We study the spectral gap behavior of an operator obtained by summing a random permutation $M$ and a deterministic bistochastic matrix $Q$. We are interested in the asymptotic in terms of dimension. In the case where $(M,Q)$ are…

The binomial, the negative binomial, the Poisson, the compound Poisson and the Erlang distribution do all admit integral representations with respect to its (continuous) parameter. We use the Margulis-Russo type formulas for Bernoulli and…

While any symmetric and positive semidefinite mapping can be the non-centered covariance of a Gaussian random field, it is known that these conditions are no longer sufficient when the random field is valued in a two-point set. The question…

We establish a sharp lower bound on the $L_p$-norm of sums of independent exponential random variables with fixed variance, for $p \geq 2$, thus extending Hunter's positivity theorem (1976) for completely homogeneous polynomials. We…

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

We study the scaling limits of genealogical trees arising from Cannings models. Under suitable moment conditions, we show that the rescaled contour and height functions converge to a time change of Brownian motion conditioned on a given…

We establish upper bounds for the expected $p$-th power of the Gaussian-smoothed $p$-Wasserstein distance between a probability measure $\mu$ and the corresponding empirical measure $\mu_N$, whenever $\mu$ has finite $q$-th moment for some…

We study time-inhomogeneous random walks on finite groups in the case where each random walk step need not be supported on a generating set of the group. When the supports of the random walk steps satisfy a natural condition involving…

We introduce a characteristic function for laws of random surfaces $\mathbf{X}: [0,s] \times [0,t] \to \mathbb{R}^d$, in the spirit of expected path developments for one-dimensional stochastic processes into matrix groups. A key property is…

We study the asymptotic behaviour of sequences of multivariate random variables representing the number of occurrences of a given set of symbols in a word of length $n$ generated at random according to a rational stochastic model. Assuming…

We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

In this paper, we establish Berry--Esseen bounds for both self-normalized and non-self-normalized sums of locally dependent random variables. The proofs are based on Stein's method together with a concentration inequality approach. We…

In this paper we extend existing results on the numerical approximation of one-dimensional SDEs with drift in a negative order Besov space and driven by Brownian motion. Using the Yamada-Watanabe approximation technique, we prove rates in…

In this paper, we propose a new efficient algorithm to compute the value function for zero-sum stopping games featuring two players with opposing interests. This can be seen as a game version of the ''forward algorithm'' for (one-player)…

We derive general sufficient conditions for the existence of c\`adl\`ag and continuous modifications of L\'evy-driven mixed moving average processes. The conditions are explicit and easy to verify and applied to supOU, well-balanced supOU,…

We study a sequential system of interacting diffusions in which particle $i$ interacts only with its predecessors through the empirical measure $\mu_t^{i-1}$, yielding a directed, non-exchangeable mean-field approximation of a…