概率论

Litvak (2018) conjectured that, for any $p > 0$, the quantity $\mathbb{E}[\min_{i = 1}^n |g_i|^p]$ where $g \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \Sigma)$ is a centered Gaussian random vector is minimized among $n \times n$ correlation matrices $\Sigma$ by…

We study the ferromagnetic random field Ising model (RFIM) on a graph $G=(V,E)$ having maximal degree $\Delta$, where the external field at each vertex is an i.i.d. random variable. When the random field distribution is sufficiently…

We study interacting Brownian particles on the half-line whose interaction occurs through boundary local times at the origin. The particle system is given by \[ X_i^n(t)=X^n_{0,i}+W_i^n(t)+L_i^n(t) +\frac{1}{n-1}\sum_{j\ne…

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

This paper studies stochastic mechanisms under which light-tailed latent price dynamics yield realized prices with power-law tails. The realized price is modeled as $P_T=e^{X_T}$, where $X$ is a Markov-modulated L\'evy process and $T$ is…

We uncover a close connection between the second moment of the degree of a typical vertex in a random subgraph and the pairwise negative correlation (p-NC) property. On one hand, we exploit this connection to prove the p-NC property for…

Let $\{X, X_{n}; n \geq 1 \}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. $\mathbf{B}$-valued random variables and set $S_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i},~n \geq 1$. This note is devoted to study the classical central limitr theorem for subsequences of sums of…

A simple symmetric random walk in the space $\mathbb{Z}^2$ is considered. The asymptotic behavior as the number of jumps tends to infinity of the probability that a fixed edge of the random walk lies in the polygon that forms the boundary…

We investigate the unique stationary measure of a positive recurrent reflecting Brownian motion in the upper half-plane, where the direction of reflection is constant on each half-axis. The Laplace transform of the stationary distribution…

We study the convex hull of planar Brownian motion run until the exit time from the unit disk. Our primary objective is to compute the expected perimeter of this convex hull, thereby complementing recent results on the convex hull of…

The "magical" identity discovered by M.~Cotlar in 1955 for the Hilbert transform is established here in the setting of martingale transforms and, in particular, for conformal martingales. This, together with the probabilistic representation…

In this manuscript, we establish the existence/non-existence of the cut-off phenomenon for the Langevin--Kolmogorov random dynamics with monomial convex potentials, possible singular, and driven by a Brownian motion with small strength. We…

We develop a calculus of space-time controlled fields for rough stochastic systems. This approach provides a unified composition rule for evaluating random fields along rough semimartingales and yields a rough stochastic It\^o-Wentzell…

The bounded mean betting procedure serves as a crucial interface between the domains of (1) sequential, anytime-valid statistical inference, and (2) online learning and portfolio selection algorithms. While recent work in both domains has…

We consider shot-noise processes with an impulse response written in terms of the logarithm of the ratio between current and event time (instead of the usual absolute time difference). We study its finite-time properties as well as its weak…

We establish a comparison principle for viscosity solutions of a class of nonlinear partial differential equations posed on the space of nonnegative finite measures, thereby extending recent results for PDEs defined on the Wasserstein space…

We prove that, under the H\"ormander criterion on an It\^{o} process, all its martingale observables are smooth. As a consequence, we also obtain a generalized Feynman-Kac formula providing smooth solutions to certain PDE boundary-value…

The strong well-posedness of the Vlasov-Fokker-Planck-Dean-Kawasaki (VFPDK) equation with correlated noise is established. This equation can be interpreted as the fluctuating mean-field limit of second-order Newtonian particle systems,…

We study the fluctuations of the phonon modes in a one-dimensional chain of anharmonic oscillators where the deterministic Hamiltonian dynamics is perturbed by random exchanges of momentum between nearest neighbor particles. There are three…

Uniform attachment with freezing is an extension of the classical model of random recursive trees, in which trees are recursively built by attaching new vertices to old ones. In the model of uniform attachment with freezing, vertices are…