概率论
We study the asymptotic behavior of Markov operators $P_\mu$ defined by convolution with a probability measure $\mu$ on the unit circle $\mathbb T$. We prove that when $\mu$ is adapted, $P_\mu$ satisfies Doeblin's condition if and only if…
Continuous data assimilation (CDA) methods, such as the nudging algorithm introduced by Azouani, Olson, and Titi (AOT), have proven to be highly effective in deterministic settings for asymptotically synchronizing approximate solutions with…
We analyse weighted Motzkin paths with step multiplicities that vary linearly with height. In the balanced case the associated exponential generating function satisfies a Pearson-type PDE, and solving by characteristics yields closed…
Hidden community problems, such as community detection in the Stochastic Block Model (SBM), submatrix localization, and $\mathbb{Z}_2$ synchronization, have received considerable attention in the probability, statistics, and…
In this paper, we study univariate and planar random motions with variable propagation speeds. We first consider motions with space-varying velocity, which can be reduced to constant-velocity motions by means of suitable nonlinear…
In this paper we focus on providing sufficient conditions for some transform orders for which the quantile densities ratio is non-monotone and, therefore, the convex transform order does not hold. These results are interesting for comparing…
The skew-product diffusion [Ann. Appl. Probab. 35, 3150--3214 (2025)] and exponentially tilted planar Brownian motion [Electron. J. Probab. 30, 1--97 (2025)] are canonical examples of planar diffusions with a point interaction at the origin…
In this paper, we study the doubly conditional reflected backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs), where constraints are made on the conditional expectation of the first component of the solution with respect to a general…
From the perspective of expectations of randomly stopped sums, Wald's equation and the Optional Sampling Theorem identify situations in which the stopping time can be decoupled from the stopping place, acting as if the two were independent.…
Notions of positive curvature have been shown to imply many remarkable properties for Markov processes, in terms, e.g., of regularization effects, functional inequalities, mixing time bounds and, more recently, the cutoff phenomenon. In…
The recently established spectral Favard theorem for bounded banded matrices admitting a positive bidiagonal factorization is applied to a broader class of Markov chains with bounded banded transition matrices, extending beyond the…
Given a m-dimensional Gaussian process and polynomial m variables with real coefficients, we calculate the induced path odered exponenial in two different ways: one is purely algebraic in spirit and the other one is diagrammatic in spirit…
Pairs of equivalent Gaussian distributions for centered stationary processes on homogeneous spaces can be characterized in terms of their spectral measures. The purpose of this note is to consider part of the latter characterization from…
We consider a slight modification of the frog model. For a given graph, each vertex has $\mathrm{Poisson}(\lambda)$ particles (or frogs). At time zero, only the particles at the origin are active, and all the other particles are sleeping.…
We review our joint work on the scaling limits of disordered systems, linking the notion of disorder relevance/irrelevance to that of sub/super-criticality of singular SPDEs. This line of research culminated in the construction of the…
We introduce a framework for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with interaction on compact, connected, $d$-dimensional manifolds. For SDEs whose drift and diffusion coefficients may depend on both the state variable and the empirical…
In 1975, G. P\'olya suggested that if two proofreaders found $a$ and $b$ errors in a text, of which $c$ errors were found by both of them, then a reasonable approximation of the unknown number $e$ of all errors is $e\approx ab/c$. We…
Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…
We present a variation of the broken stick problem in which $n$ stick lengths are sampled uniformly at random. We prove that the probability that no three sticks can form a triangle is the reciprocal of the product of the first $n$…
We establish a non-explosion result for rough differential equations (RDEs) in which the noise and drift coefficients, together with their derivatives, may grow unboundedly at infinity. In addition, we prove the existence of a global…