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We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

This paper studies iterative schemes for measure transfer and approximation problems, which are defined through a slicing-and-matching procedure. Similar to the sliced Wasserstein distance, these schemes benefit from the availability of…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-17 Shiying Li , Caroline Moosmueller , Yongzhe Wang

The purpose of this paper is to explain a certain dichotomy between the information that the past and future values of a multivariate stochastic process carry about the present. More specifically, vector-valued, second-order stochastic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-31 Yongxin Chen , Johan Karlsson , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Stochastic birth-death processes are described as continuous-time Markov processes in models of population dynamics. A system of infinite, coupled ordinary differential equations (the so-called master equation) describes the time-dependence…

数学物理 · 物理学 2019-01-21 Primitivo B. Acosta-Humanez , Jose A. Capitan , Juan J. Morales-Ruiz

In this article, the following results are obtained: the process of a randomly wandering particle having a size and a continuous trajectory of motion is considered; (b) based on the study of this probabilistic process, a derivation of the…

综合物理 · 物理学 2021-09-28 Mikhail Batanov-Gaukhman

Epidemic dynamics in a stochastic network of interacting epidemic centers is considered. The epidemic and migration processes are modelled by Markov's chains. Explicit formulas for probability distribution of the migration process are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-05-05 Igor Sazonov , Mark Kelbert

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

To assess the quality of a probabilistic prediction for stochastic dynamical systems (SDSs), scoring rules assign a numerical score based on the predictive distribution and the measured state. In this paper, we propose an…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Tao Xu , Yushan Li , Jianping He

Calculations and mechanistic explanations for the probabilistic movement of objects at the highly relevant cm length scales has been lacking and overlooked due to the complexity of current techniques. Predicting the final-configuration…

Motivated by information geometry, a distance function on the space of stochastic matrices is advocated. Starting with sequences of Markov chains the Bhattacharyya angle is advocated as the natural tool for comparing both short and long…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Antony R. Lee , Peter Tino , Iain Bruce Styles

This chapter first presents a rather personal view of some different aspects of predictability, going in crescendo from simple linear systems to high-dimensional nonlinear systems with stochastic forcing, which exhibit emergent properties…

地球物理 · 物理学 2014-08-26 Didier Sornette , Ivan Osorio

Domain theory has a long history of applications in theoretical computer science and mathematics. In this article, we explore the relation of domain theory to probability theory and stochastic processes. The goal is to establish a theory in…

逻辑 · 数学 2020-02-06 Michael Mislove

A stochastic algorithm is proposed, finding the set of generalized means associated to a probability measure on a compact Riemannian manifold M and a continuous cost function on the product of M by itself. Generalized means include p-means…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-28 Marc Arnaudon , Laurent Miclo

Consider a system performing a continuous-time random walk on the integers, subject to catastrophes occurring at constant rate, and followed by exponentially-distributed repair times. After any repair the system starts anew from state zero.…

Probabilistic frames are a generalization of finite frames into the Wasserstein space of probability measures with finite second moment. We introduce new probabilistic definitions of duality, analysis, and synthesis and investigate their…

泛函分析 · 数学 2017-05-03 Clare Wickman , Kasso Okoudjou

With increasing use of digital control it is natural to view control inputs and outputs as stochastic processes assuming values over finite alphabets rather than in a Euclidean space. As control over networks becomes increasingly common,…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

Bulk-boundary correspondence is a fundamental principle in topological physics. In recent years, there have been considerable efforts in extending the idea of geometry and topology to classical stochastic systems far from equilibrium.…

介观与纳米尺度物理 · 物理学 2024-05-02 Taro Sawada , Kazuki Sone , Kazuki Yokomizo , Yuto Ashida , Takahiro Sagawa

Hybrid systems, and Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes in particular, are widely used to model and numerically study systems exhibiting multiple time scales in biochemical reaction kinetics and related areas. In this paper an almost…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-12-07 Martin G. Riedler

We consider a particle moving in continuous time as a Markov jump process; its discrete chain is given by an ordinary random walk on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ , and its jump rate at $({\mathbf x},t)$ is given by a fixed function $\varphi$ of the…

We consider the safety evaluation of discrete time, stochastic systems over a finite horizon. Therefore, we discuss and link probabilistic invariance with reachability as well as reach-avoid problems. We show how to efficiently compute…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-17 Niklas Schmid , John Lygeros