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Asymptotic optimality is a key theoretical property in model averaging. Due to technical difficulties, existing studies rely on restricted weight sets or the assumption that there is no true model with fixed dimensions in the candidate set.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-15 Wenchao Xu , Xinyu Zhang

The variance measures the portfolio risks the investors are taking. The investor, who holds his portfolio and doesn't trade his shares, at the current time can use the time series of the market trades that were made during the averaging…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-08 Victor Olkhov

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F, P; R^d)$ with image space in the power set of $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d)$.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-01-27 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

We develop novel estimation procedures with supporting econometric theory for a dynamic latent-factor model with high-dimensional asset characteristics, that is, the number of characteristics is on the order of the sample size. Utilizing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-27 Adam Baybutt

In this paper, we define probabilistic measures for venture portfolio performance based on individual outlier probability for each investment and the dependence across investments. This work is inspired by loan portfolio modeling against…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Kensei Sakamoto , Hasan Ugur Koyluoglu , Fuat Alican , Yigit Ihlamur

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

Happiness computing based on large-scale online web data and machine learning methods is an emerging research topic that underpins a range of issues, from personal growth to social stability. Many advanced Machine Learning (ML) models with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Xiaohua Wu , Lin Li , Xiaohui Tao , Frank Xing , Jingling Yuan

Providing a measure of market risk is an important issue for investors and financial institutions. However, the existing models for this purpose are per definition symmetric. The current paper introduces an asymmetric capital asset pricing…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-05-07 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

The price-bubble and crash process formation is theoretically investigated in a two-asset equilibrium model. Sufficient and necessary conditions are derived for the existence of average equilibrium price dynamics of different agent-based…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-06 Francesco Cordoni

Among professionals and academics alike, it is well known that active portfolio management is unable to provide additional risk-adjusted returns relative to their benchmarks. For this reason, passive wealth management has emerged in recent…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-03-28 Daniele Bufalo , Michele Bufalo , Francesco Cesarone , Giuseppe Orlando

We address microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, stochastic, modeling of the financial markets combining it with the exogenous noise. The interplay between the endogenous dynamics of agents and the exogenous noise is the primary…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-11-22 Vygintas Gontis

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

Quantitative portfolio allocation requires the accurate and tractable estimation of covariances between a large number of assets, whose histories can greatly vary in length. Such data are said to follow a monotone missingness pattern, under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-02-24 Robert B. Gramacy , Joo Hee Lee , Ricardo Silva

Identifying unambiguously the presence of a bubble in an asset price remains an unsolved problem in standard econometric and financial economic approaches. A large part of the problem is that the fundamental value of an asset is, in…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-11-25 Wanfeng Yan , Ryan Woodard , Didier Sornette

Factor analysis (FA) and principal component analysis (PCA) are popular statistical methods for summarizing and explaining the variability in multivariate datasets. By default, FA and PCA assume the number of components or factors to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-17 Chetkar Jha , Ian Barnett

Constraint tightening to non-conservatively guarantee recursive feasibility and stability in Stochastic Model Predictive Control is addressed. Stability and feasibility requirements are considered separately, highlighting the difference…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-05-13 Matthias Lorenzen , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo , Frank Allgöwer

Factor models are a very efficient way to describe high dimensional vectors of data in terms of a small number of common relevant factors. This problem, which is of fundamental importance in many disciplines, is usually reformulated in…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-13 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

We consider the problem of mean-variance portfolio optimization for a generic covariance matrix subject to the budget constraint and the constraint for the expected return, with the application of the replica method borrowed from the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2017-01-04 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor

Financial time series are commonly decomposed into market factors, which capture shared price movements across assets, and residual factors, which reflect asset-specific deviations. To hedge the market-wide risks, such as the COVID-19…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Koshi Watanabe , Ryota Ozaki , Kentaro Imajo , Masanori Hirano

We consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta=(beta_1,...,beta_p) and independent and identically N(0,sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri