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We investigate the relative information efficiency of financial markets by measuring the entropy of the time series of high frequency data. Our tool to measure efficiency is the Shannon entropy, applied to 2-symbol and 3-symbol…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-15 Lucio Maria Calcagnile , Fulvio Corsi , Stefano Marmi

Here, we propose a new tool to estimate the complexity of a time series: the entropy of difference (ED). The method is based solely on the sign of the difference between neighboring values in a time series. This makes it possible to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-11-05 Pasquale Nardone

We propose to examine the predictability and the complexity characteristics of the Standard&Poor500 dynamics behaviors in a coarse-grained way using the symbolic dynamics method and under the prism of the Information theory through the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-05-11 Geoffrey Ducournau

Empirical Mode Decomposition(EMD) is an adaptive data analysis technique for analyzing nonlinear and nonstationary data[1]. EMD decomposes the original data into a number of Intrinsic Mode Functions(IMFs)[1] for giving better physical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-27 Sumit Kumar Ram , Marta Molinas

Approximation of entropies of various types using machine learning (ML) regression methods are shown for the first time. The ML models presented in this study define the complexity of the short time series by approximating dissimilar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-30 Andrei Velichko , Maksim Belyaev , Matthias P. Wagner , Alireza Taravat

Estimating the dissipation, or the entropy production rate (EPR), can provide insights into the underlying mechanisms of nonequilibrium driven processes. Experimentally, however, only partial information can be accessed, and the ability to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-12-29 Uri Kapustin , Aishani Ghosal , Gili Bisker

In this paper, we developed a novel method of nonparametric relative entropy (RlEn) for modelling loss of complexity in intermittent time series. The method consists of two steps. We first fit a nonlinear autoregressive model to each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Jie Li , Jian Zhang , Samantha L. Winter , Mark Burnley

We study the notion of approximate entropy within the framework of network theory. Approximate entropy is an uncertainty measure originally proposed in the context of dynamical systems and time series. We firstly define a purely structural…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2013-05-30 James West , Lucas Lacasa , Simone Severini , Andrew Teschendorff

Measuring the predictability and complexity of time series using entropy is essential tool de-signing and controlling a nonlinear system. However, the existing methods have some drawbacks related to the strong dependence of entropy on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-14 Andrei Velichko , Hanif Heidari

This work presents a novel framework for time series analysis using entropic measures based on the kernel density estimate (KDE) of the time series' Takens' embeddings. Using this framework we introduce two distinct analytical tools: (1) a…

During a spontaneous change, a macroscopic physical system will evolve towards a macro-state with more realizations. This observation is at the basis of the Statistical Mechanical version of the Second Law of Thermodynamics, and it provides…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Mengjie Zu , Arunkumar Bupathy , Daan Frenkel , Srikanth Sastry

Entropy measures have become increasingly popular as an evaluation metric for complexity in the analysis of time series data, especially in physiology and medicine. Entropy measures the rate of information gain, or degree of regularity in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-03 Chee Chun Gan , Gerard Learmonth

In this letter we show that the Multiscale Entropy (MSE) analysis can detect the determinism in a time series.

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Sarkar , P. Barat

Entropy metrics (for example, permutation entropy) are nonlinear measures of irregularity in time series (one-dimensional data). Some of these entropy metrics can be generalised to data on periodic structures such as a grid or lattice…

组合数学 · 数学 2021-10-22 John Stewart Fabila-Carrasco , Chao Tan , Javier Escudero

Shannon entropy is the most common metric to measure the degree of randomness of time series in many fields, ranging from physics and finance to medicine and biology. Real-world systems may be in general non stationary, with an entropy…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-08 Andrey Shternshis , Piero Mazzarisi

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Moment-closure methods are popular tools to simplify the mathematical analysis of stochastic models defined on networks, in which high dimensional joint distributions are approximated (often by some heuristic argument) as functions of lower…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-05-25 Tim Rogers

Entropy has been a common index to quantify the complexity of time series in a variety of fields. Here, we introduce increment entropy to measure the complexity of time series in which each increment is mapped into a word of two letters,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-01-20 Xiaofeng Liu , Aimin Jiang , Ning Xu , Jianru Xue

In this work, we present a method which determines optimal multi-step dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) models via entropic regression, which is a nonlinear information flow detection algorithm. Motivated by the higher-order DMD (HODMD)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Christopher W. Curtis , Erik Bollt , Daniel Jay Alford-Lago

A well-interpretable measure of information has been recently proposed based on a partition obtained by intersecting a random sequence with its moving average. The partition yields disjoint sets of the sequence, which are then ranked…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-01 Linda Ponta , Anna Carbone
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