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Forecasting the popularity of new songs has become a standard practice in the music industry and provides a comparative advantage for those that do it well. Considerable efforts were put into machine learning prediction models for that…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-11-29 Niklas Reisz , Vito D. P. Servedio , Stefan Thurner

The adaptive voter model is widely used to model opinion dynamics in social complex networks. However, existing adaptive voter models are limited to only pairwise interactions and fail to capture the intricate social dynamics that arises in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-04 Anastasia Golovin , Jan Mölter , Christian Kuehn

The paper has two objectives. The first is to study rigorously the transient behavior of some P2P networks whenever information is replicated and disseminated according to epidemic-like dynamics. The second is to use the insight gained from…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2012-01-17 Eitan Altman , Philippe Nain , Adam Shwartz , Yuedong Xu

In this paper, we discuss a voting model with two candidates, C_0 and C_1. We consider two types of voters--herders and independents. The voting of independents is based on their fundamental values; on the other hand, the voting of herders…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-03-17 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

One goal of online social recommendation systems is to harness the wisdom of crowds in order to identify high quality content. Yet the sequential voting mechanisms that are commonly used by these systems are at odds with existing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-03-16 L. Elisa Celis , Peter M. Krafft , Nathan Kobe

Recommendation systems have received considerable attention recently. However, most research has been focused on improving the performance of collaborative filtering (CF) techniques. Social networks, indispensably, provide us extra…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2013-05-21 Shang Shang , Pan Hui , Sanjeev R. Kulkarni , Paul W. Cuff

The Linear Threshold Model is a widely used model that describes how information diffuses through a social network. According to this model, an individual adopts an idea or product after the proportion of their neighbors who have adopted it…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-01-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

This study employs a Bayesian Probit model to empirically analyze peer effects and herd behavior among consumers during the "Double 11" shopping festival, using data collected through a questionnaire survey. The results demonstrate that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-03 Hambur Wang

We explore how the mechanics of collective decision-making, especially of jury deliberation, can be inferred from macroscopic statistics. We first hypothesize that the dynamics of competing opinions can leave a "fingerprint" in the joint…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-08-14 Keith Burghardt , William Rand , Michelle Girvan

The statistical properties of pairwise majority voting over S alternatives is analyzed in an infinite random population. We first compute the probability that the majority is transitive (i.e. that if it prefers A to B to C, then it prefers…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Giacomo Raffaelli , Matteo Marsili

We investigate opinion spreading by a threshold model in a situation where the influence of people is heterogeneously distributed. We focus on the response of the average opinion as a function between the trend between out-degree (number of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-07-26 Eun Lee , Petter Holme

While both the data volume and heterogeneity of the digital music content is huge, it has become increasingly important and convenient to build a recommendation or search system to facilitate surfacing these content to the user or consumer…

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic generative model, called unified model, which naturally unifies the ideas of social influence, collaborative filtering and content-based methods for item recommendation. To address the issue of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2011-09-06 Mao Ye , Xingjie Liu , Wang-Chien Lee

The task of a music recommender system is to predict what music item a particular user would like to listen to next. This position paper discusses the main challenges of the music preference prediction task: the lack of information on the…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Christine Bauer

In order to truly understand how social media might shape online discourses or contribute to societal polarization, we need refined models of platform choice, that is: models that help us understand why users prefer one social media…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2024-11-08 Sven Banisch , Dennis Jacob , Tom Willaert , Eckehard Olbrich

The heterogeneity of the influence processes is an important feature of social systems: how we perceive social influence and how we influence other individuals is heavily influenced by our opinion and non-opinion attributes. The latter…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-09-07 Ivan V. Kozitsin

A growing part of the behavioral finance literature has addressed some of the stylized facts of financial time series as macroscopic patterns emerging from herding interactions among groups of agents with heterogeneous trading strategies…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-09-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

Deployed supervised machine learning models make predictions that interact with and influence the world. This phenomenon is called performative prediction by Perdomo et al. (ICML 2020). It is an ongoing challenge to understand the influence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Gavin Brown , Shlomi Hod , Iden Kalemaj

Social foraging is a widespread form of animal foraging in which groups of individuals coordinate their decisions to exploit resources in the environment. Animals show a variety of social structures from egalitarian to hierarchical. In this…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-03-05 Lisa Blum Moyse , Ahmed El Hady