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One of the first steps to understand and forecast economic downturns is identifying their frequency distribution, but it remains uncertain. This problem is common in phenomena displaying power-law-like distributions. Power laws play a…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2013-10-10 Salvador Pueyo

In this paper we assess the correlation between recent observing runs (2018 and 2019) and inclement weather, and demonstrate that these observing runs have seen much more rainfall than would otherwise be expected, an increase of over 200%.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-04-01 Michael B. Lund

Herein we propose a method to mimic natural processes for the creation of precipitation, in a safe, economically feasible manner anywhere in the world. We propose this is accomplishable via changing the target of the well established field…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-29 Aya Thompson

Investigations of inverse statistics (a concept borrowed from turbulence) in stock markets, exemplified with filtered Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, have uncovered a novel stylized fact that the distribution of exit time…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei-Kang Yuan

Complex systems consist of many interacting elements which participate in some dynamical process. The activity of various elements is often different and the fluctuation in the activity of an element grows monotonically with the average…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-04-24 Zoltan Eisler , Imre Bartos , Janos Kertesz

The impacts of a tropical cyclone after landfall depend not only on storm intensity but also on the size and structure of the wind field. Hence, a simple predictive model for the wind field after landfall has significant potential value.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Jie Chen , Daniel R. Chavas

Power law or generalized polynomial regressions with unknown real-valued exponents and coefficients, and weakly dependent errors, are considered for observations over time, space or space--time. Consistency and asymptotic normality of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-14 Peter M. Robinson

The concept of uniform distribution in $[0,1]$ is extended for a certain strictly separated maximal (in the sense of cardinality) family $(\lambda_t)_{t \in [0,1]}$ of invariant extensions of the linear Lebesgue measure $\lambda$ in…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2016-03-16 A. Kirtadze , G. Pantsulaia , N. Rusiashvili

Recently it has become clear that many technologies follow a generalized version of Moore's law, i.e. costs tend to drop exponentially, at different rates that depend on the technology. Here we formulate Moore's law as a correlated…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-02-27 J. Doyne Farmer , Francois Lafond

We show that the distribution of the time delay for one-dimensional random potentials is universal in the high energy or weak disorder limit. Our analytical results are in excellent agreement with extensive numerical simulations carried out…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Christophe Texier , Alain Comtet

In this work, an analysis of multifractal parameters of daily precipitation series over the Iberian Peninsula was performed in two 30-year periods to explore whether these properties follow any pattern. Fluctuations of precipitation series…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-11-20 J. Gomez-Gomez , R. Carmona-Cabezas , E. Sanchez-Lopez , E. Gutierrez de Rave , F. J. Jimenez-Hornero

Interevent times have been studied across various disciplines in search for correlations. In this paper we show analytical and numerical evidence that at the population level a power-law can be obtained by assuming poissonian agents with…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Cesar A. Hidalgo R

Application of "complete scaling" [Kim et al., Phys. Rev. E 67, 061506 (2003); Anisimov and Wang, Phys. Rev. Lett. 97, 25703 (2006)] to the interfacial behavior of fluids shows that Tolman's length, a curvature correction to the surface…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. A. Anisimov

Rainfall is an important variable to be able to monitor and forecast across Africa, due to its impact on agriculture, food security, climate related diseases and public health. Numerical Weather Models (NWM) are an important component of…

Two new indicators of rainfall seasonality based on information entropy, the relative entropy (RE) and the dimensionless seasonality index (DSI), together with the mean annual rainfall, are evaluated on a global scale for recently updated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-09-02 Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Xue Feng , Amilcare Porporato , Shabeh ul Hasson

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

Meteorological data have been used to calculate refractive index fluctuations - the indicator of optical instability of the Earth's atmosphere. The calculations were made for standard pressure levels of the atmosphere in winter and summer.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2011-01-21 Pavel G. Kovadlo , Olga S. Kochetkova

Inertial-range features of turbulence are investigated using data from experimental measurements of grid turbulence and direct numerical simulations of isotropic turbulence simulated in a periodic box, both at the Taylor-scale Reynolds…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-06-30 Kartik P. Iyer , Gregory P. Bewley , Luca Biferale , Katepalli R. Sreenivasan , P. K. Yeung

It is known that if X is uniformly distributed modulo 1 and Y is an arbitrary random variable independent of X then Y+X is also uniformly distributed modulo 1. We prove a converse for any continuous random variable Y (or a reasonable…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-16 Michał Ryszard Wójcik

We show that the Gamma distribution is not an adequate fit for the probability density function of drop diameters using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness of fit test. We propose a different parametrization of drop size distributions, which…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-09-18 Massimiliano Ignaccolo , Carlo De Michele