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Calibration of computer models is a key step in making inferences, predictions, and decisions for complex science and engineering systems. We formulate and analyze a nonparametric Bayesian methodology for computer model calibration. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Haiyi Shi , Lei Yang , Jiarui Chi , Troy Butler , Haonan Wang , Derek Bingham , Don Estep

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The tilted-wave interferometer is a promising technique for the development of a reference measurement system for the highly accurate form measurement of aspheres and freeform surfaces. The technique combines interferometric measurements,…

Estimating the tortuosity of porous electrodes is important for understanding the performance of lithium-ion batteries and optimizing the design of electrode microstructures. In this work, a new method for estimating the tortuosity of…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-03-10 Zongli Chen , Chenzhe Li , Ying Zhao

Nonresponse weighting adjustment using the response propensity score is a popular tool for handling unit nonresponse. Statistical inference after the nonresponse weighting adjustment is complicated because the effect of estimating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

Bayesian Inference is a powerful approach to data analysis that is based almost entirely on probability theory. In this approach, probabilities model {\it uncertainty} rather than randomness or variability. This thesis is composed of a…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-09-08 Brendon J. Brewer

The calculation of the band-gap by density-functional theory (DFT) methods is examined by considering the behavior of the energy as a function of number of electrons. It is found that the incorrect band-gap prediction with most approximate…

材料科学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Aron J. Cohen , Paula Mori-Sánchez , Weitao Yang

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

We introduce a novel uncertainty estimation for classification tasks for Bayesian convolutional neural networks with variational inference. By normalizing the output of a Softplus function in the final layer, we estimate aleatoric and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-15 Kumar Shridhar , Felix Laumann , Marcus Liwicki

We propose a general physics-based approach for an accurate analytical calculation of the channel charge density in field-effect transistors as functions of the external gate biases. This approach is based on a consistent consideration of…

介观与纳米尺度物理 · 物理学 2022-01-03 G. I. Zebrev , D. S. Malich

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

This paper develops a mathematical and computational framework for analyzing the expected performance of Bayesian data fusion, or joint statistical inference, within a sensor network. We use variational techniques to obtain the posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-23 Gaurav Thakur

In this article, we propose a novel method for sampling potential functions based on noisy observation data of a finite number of observables in quantum canonical ensembles, which leads to the accurate sampling of a wide class of test…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-08 Ziheng Chen , Zhennan Zhou

We prove optimal convergence results of a stochastic particle method for computing the classical solution of a multivariate McKean-Vlasov equation, when the measure variable is in the drift, following the classical approach of [BT97,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-05 Marc Hoffmann , Yating Liu

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

We consider the statistical inverse problem of estimating a background flow field (e.g., of air or water) from the partial and noisy observation of a passive scalar (e.g., the concentration of a solute), a common experimental approach to…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-12 Jeff Borggaard , Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis
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