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We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

A moment bound for the normalized conditional-sum-of-squares (CSS) estimate of a general autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) model with an arbitrary unknown memory parameter is derived in this paper. To achieve…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-07-09 Ngai Hang Chan , Shih-Feng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

The drift sequential parameter estimation problems for the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes under the limited duration of observation are studied. Truncated sequential estimation methods for both scalar and {two}-dimensional parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-08 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Thi-Bao Trâm Ngô , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

This work develops non-asymptotic theory for estimation of the long-run variance matrix and its inverse, the so-called precision matrix, for high-dimensional time series under general assumptions on the dependence structure including…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-02 Changryong Baek , Marie-Christine Düker , Vladas Pipiras

Structural Nested Mean Models (SNMMs) are useful for causal inference of treatment effects in longitudinal observational studies. Most existing works assume that the data are collected at pre-fixed time points for all subjects, which,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Shu Yang

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

Spectral singularities at non-zero frequencies play an important role in investigating cyclic or seasonal time series. The publication [2] introduced the generalized filtered method-of-moments approach to simultaneously estimate singularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-13 Antoine Ayache , Myriam Fradon , Ravindi Nanayakkara , Andriy Olenko

This paper discusses asymptotic distributions of various estimators of the underlying parameters in some regression models with long memory (LM) Gaussian design and nonparametric heteroscedastic LM moving average errors. In the simple…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongwen Guo , Hira L. Koul

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Chuhan Xie , Kaicheng Jin , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

Finding analytically the statistics of the longest common subsequence (LCS) of a pair of random sequences drawn from c alphabets is a challenging problem in computational evolutionary biology. We present exact asymptotic results for the…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2009-11-10 Satya N. Majumdar , Sergei Nechaev

Regression models for continuous outcomes often require a transformation of the outcome, which the user either specify {\it a priori} or estimate from a parametric family. Cumulative probability models (CPMs) nonparametrically estimate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Chun Li , Yuqi Tian , Donglin Zeng , Bryan E. Shepherd

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

For long-memory time series, inference based on resampling is of crucial importance, since the asymptotic distribution can often be non-Gaussian and is difficult to determine statistically. However due to the strong dependence, establishing…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-10 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

Fractionally integrated time series, exhibiting long memory with slowly decaying autocorrelations, are frequently encountered in economics, finance, and related fields. Since the seminal work of Robinson (1995), a variety of semiparametric…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-17 Jason R. Blevins

In this paper, we analyse the influence of estimating a constant term on the bias of the conditional sum-of-squares (CSS) estimator in a stationary or non-stationary type-II ARFIMA ($p_1$,$d$,$p_2$) model. We derive expressions for the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-10 Mustafa R. Kılınç , Michael Massmann

Spatial-temporal linear model and the corresponding likelihood-based statistical inference are important tools for the analysis of spatial-temporal lattice data. In this paper, we study the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-27 Xiang Zhang , Yanbing Zheng

The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is a renowned robust alternative to the classic least squares estimator and is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Many studies exist on LTS, including its…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-10 Yijun Zuo

State-space models (SSMs) are powerful probabilistic tools for modeling time-varying systems with latent dynamics. Inference in SSMs involves the estimation of latent states and parameters. In this work, we focus on parameter inference,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-22 Kostas Tsampourakis , Víctor Elvira
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