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In this paper we show that the classical problem of frequency estimation can be formulated and solved efficiently in an empirical Bayesian framework by assigning a uniform a priori probability distribution to the unknown frequency. We…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-27 Giorgio Picci , Bin Zhu

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

This paper presents a new Bayesian framework for quantifying discretization errors in numerical solutions of ordinary differential equations. By modelling the errors as random variables, we impose a monotonicity constraint on the variances,…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-14 Yuto Miyatake , Kaoru Irie , Takeru Matsuda

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

Datasets in engineering applications are often limited and contaminated, mainly due to unavoidable measurement noise and signal distortion. Thus, using conventional data-driven approaches to build a reliable discriminative model, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

We study frequentist properties of Bayesian and $L_0$ model selection, with a focus on (potentially non-linear) high-dimensional regression. We propose a construction to study how posterior probabilities and normalized $L_0$ criteria…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-07 David Rossell

We study objective Bayesian inference for linear regression models with residual errors distributed according to the class of two-piece scale mixtures of normal distributions. These models allow for capturing departures from the usual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-09 F. J. Rubio , K. Yu

Generative diffusion models can provide powerful prior probability models for inverse problems in imaging, but existing implementations suffer from two key limitations: $(i)$ the prior density is represented implicitly, and $(ii)$ they rely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Nicolas Zilberstein , Santiago Segarra , Eero Simoncelli , Florentin Guth

Bayes' rule has enabled innumerable powerful algorithms of statistical signal processing and statistical machine learning. However, when model misspecifications exist in prior and/or data distributions, the direct application of Bayes' rule…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-13 Shixiong Wang

As machine learning-based prediction systems are increasingly used in high-stakes situations, it is important to understand how such predictive models will perform upon deployment. Distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

An efficient algorithm is proposed for Bayesian model calibration, which is commonly used to estimate the model parameters of non-linear, computationally expensive models using measurement data. The approach is based on Bayesian statistics:…

Existing Bayesian treatments of neural networks are typically characterized by weak prior and approximate posterior distributions according to which all the weights are drawn independently. Here, we consider a richer prior distribution in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-02 Theofanis Karaletsos , Peter Dayan , Zoubin Ghahramani

Objective probabilistic forecasts of future climate that include parameter uncertainty can be made by using the Bayesian prediction integral with the prior set to Jeffreys' Prior. The calculations involved in determining the prior can then…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2010-05-24 Stephen Jewson , Dan Rowlands , Myles Allen

This paper considers the topic of finding prior distributions when a major component of the statistical model depends on a nonlinear function. Using results on how to construct uniform distributions in general metric spaces, we propose a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-05-09 Björn Bornkamp

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems with functional unknowns, has received significant attention in recent years. An important component of the developing theory is the study of the asymptotic performance of the posterior distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-18 Sergios Agapiou , Peter Mathé

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Which neural networks are similar is a fundamental question for both machine learning and neuroscience. Here, it is proposed to base comparisons on the predictive distributions of linear readouts from intermediate representations. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Heiko H. Schütt

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation and prediction for nonhomogeneous Poisson process models with unknown intensity functions. We propose a class of improper priors for intensity functions. Nonparametric Bayesian inference with…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-17 Fumiyasu Komaki