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In the literature surrounding Bayesian penalized regression, the two primary choices of prior distribution on the regression coefficients are zero-mean Gaussian and Laplace. While both have been compared numerically and theoretically, there…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-01-26 Luke Bornn , Raphael Gottardo , Arnaud Doucet

In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-06 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Guang Cheng

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

We present a novel class of Physics-Informed Neural Networks that is formulated based on the principles of Evidential Deep Learning, where the model incorporates uncertainty quantification by learning parameters of a higher-order…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Hai Siong Tan , Kuancheng Wang , Rafe McBeth

Frequentist conditions for asymptotic suitability of Bayesian procedures focus on lower bounds for prior mass in Kullback-Leibler neighbourhoods of the data distribution. The goal of this paper is to investigate the flexibility in criteria…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-19 B. J. K. Kleijn , Y. Y. Zhao

In a remarkable series of papers beginning in 1956, Charles Stein set the stage for the future development of minimax shrinkage estimators of a multivariate normal mean under quadratic loss. More recently, parallel developments have seen…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-27 Edward I. George , Feng Liang , Xinyi Xu

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression under sparsity constraints. The prior is a mixture of point masses at zero and continuous distributions. Under compatibility conditions on the design matrix, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-15 Ismaël Castillo , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Aad van der Vaart

This paper studies the problem of approximately unlearning a Bayesian model from a small subset of the training data to be erased. We frame this problem as one of minimizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the approximate posterior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Quoc Phong Nguyen , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Recent advances in deep learning have brought to the fore models that can make multiple computational steps in the service of completing a task; these are capable of describ- ing long-term dependencies in sequential data. Novel recurrent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-06 Kyriakos Tolias , Sotirios Chatzis

It is desirable to have accurate uncertainty estimation from a single deterministic forward-pass model, as traditional methods for uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. However, this is difficult because single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Câmara Pereira

Simultaneous predictive densities for independent Poisson observables are investigated. The observed data and the target variables to be predicted are independently distributed according to different Poisson distributions parametrized by…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

Penalized regression methods, such as $L_1$ regularization, are routinely used in high-dimensional applications, and there is a rich literature on optimality properties under sparsity assumptions. In the Bayesian paradigm, sparsity is…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-27 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Natesh S. Pillai , David B. Dunson

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

The models used to describe the kinetics of ruminal degradation are usually nonlinear models where the dependent variable is the proportion of degraded food. The method of least squares is the standard approach used to estimate the unknown…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Diego Salmerón

We advocate for a new statistical principle that combines the most desirable aspects of both parameter inference and density estimation. This leads us to the predictively oriented (PrO) posterior, which expresses uncertainty as a…

The multivariate extended skew-normal distribution allows for accommodating raw data which are skewed and heavy tailed, and has at least three appealing statistical properties, namely closure under conditioning, affine transformations, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-19 Mathieu Gerber , Florian Pelgrin

We provide a framework for assessing the default nature of a prior distribution using the property of regular variation, which we study for global-local shrinkage priors. In particular, we demonstrate the horseshoe priors, originally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-17 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard

We construct optimal low-rank approximations for the Gaussian posterior distribution in linear Gaussian inverse problems with possibly infinite-dimensional separable Hilbert parameter spaces and finite-dimensional data spaces. We first…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-09 Giuseppe Carere , Han Cheng Lie