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In statistical classification/multiple hypothesis testing and machine learning, a model distribution estimated from the training data is usually applied to replace the unknown true distribution in the Bayes decision rule, which introduces a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-09-24 Zijian Yang , Vahe Eminyan , Ralf Schlüter , Hermann Ney

In recent years, a rich variety of shrinkage priors have been proposed that have great promise in addressing massive regression problems. In general, these new priors can be expressed as scale mixtures of normals, but have more complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-15 Artin Armagan , David B. Dunson , Merlise Clyde

Bayesian inference for high-dimensional inverse problems is computationally costly and requires selecting a suitable prior distribution. Amortized variational inference addresses these challenges via a neural network that approximates the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Rafael Orozco , Felix J. Herrmann

We obtain rates of contraction of posterior distributions in inverse problems defined by scales of smoothness classes. We derive abstract results for general priors, with contraction rates determined by Galerkin approximation. The rate…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We study empirical Bayes (EB) predictive density estimation in linear mixed models (LMMs) with large number of units, which induce a high dimensional random effects space. Focusing on Kullback Leibler (KL) risk minimization, we develop a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Abir Sarkar , Gourab Mukherjee , Keisuke Yano

In this paper several related estimation problems are addressed from a Bayesian point of view and optimal estimators are obtained for each of them when some natural loss functions are considered. Namely, we are interested in estimating a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-27 A. G. Nogales

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Bayesian predictive densities when the observed data $x$ and the target variable $y$ to be predicted have different distributions are investigated by using the framework of information geometry. The performance of predictive densities is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

Ideally, any statistical inference should be robust to local influences. Although there are simple ways to check about leverage points in independent and linear problems, more complex models require more sophisticated methods.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-09 Ian M Danilevicz , Ricardo S Ehlers

In many applications, it is of interest to assess the dependence structure in multivariate longitudinal data. Discovering such dependence is challenging due to the dimensionality involved. By concatenating the random effects from component…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-08-16 Hongxia Yang , Fan Li , Enrique F. Schisterman , Sunni L. Mumford , David Dunson

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

The posterior distribution in a nonparametric inverse problem is shown to contract to the true parameter at a rate that depends on the smoothness of the parameter, and the smoothness and scale of the prior. Correct combinations of these…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 B. T. Knapik , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

In the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, data are often informative, relative to the prior, only on a low-dimensional subspace of the parameter space. Significant computational savings can be achieved by using this subspace to…

Nowadays model uncertainty has become one of the most important problems in both academia and industry. In this paper, we mainly consider the scenario in which we have a common model set used for model averaging instead of selecting a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-26 Yimin Huang , Weiran Huang , Liang Li , Zhenguo Li

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-01-18 Mengwu Guo , Shane A. McQuarrie , Karen E. Willcox

The Cox proportional hazards model (Cox model) is a popular model for survival data analysis. When the sample size is small relative to the dimension of the model, the standard maximum partial likelihood inference is often problematic. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Weihao Li , Dongming Huang

This article proposes a Bayesian approach to regression with a scalar response against vector and tensor covariates. Tensor covariates are commonly vectorized prior to analysis, failing to exploit the structure of the tensor, and resulting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-23 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Shaan Qamar , David B. Dunson

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang