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We introduce a general Monte Carlo method based on Nested Sampling (NS), for sampling complex probability distributions and estimating the normalising constant. The method uses one or more particles, which explore a mixture of nested…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-02-27 Brendon J. Brewer , Livia B. Pártay , Gábor Csányi

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

We discuss a Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) procedure for the random sampling of some one-dimensional lattice paths with constraints, for various constraints. We show that an approach inspired by optimal transport allows us to bound…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-28 Lucas Gerin

In most sampling algorithms, including Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, transition rates between states correspond to the probability of making a transition in a single time step, and are constrained to be less than or equal to 1. We derive a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-13 Andrew B. Berger , Mayur Mudigonda , Michael R. DeWeese , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

We introduce and analyze a parallel sequential Monte Carlo methodology for the numerical solution of optimization problems that involve the minimization of a cost function that consists of the sum of many individual components. The proposed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-04 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Dan Crisan , Joaquín Míguez

A sampling method for spin systems is presented. The spin lattice is written as the union of a nested sequence of sublattices, all but the last with conditionally independent spins, which are sampled in succession using their marginals. The…

数值分析 · 数学 2008-02-09 Alexandre Chorin

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a methodology for sampling approximately from a sequence of probability distributions of increasing dimension and estimating their normalizing constants. We propose here an alternative methodology named…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-13 Anthony Brockwell , Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

We propose a novel stochastic algorithm that randomly samples entire rows and columns of the matrix as a way to approximate an arbitrary matrix function using the power series expansion. This contrasts with existing Monte Carlo methods,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-09-23 Nicolas L. Guidotti , Juan A. Acebrón , José Monteiro

Monte Carlo methods are widely used to estimate observables in many-body quantum systems. However, conventional sampling schemes often require a large number of samples to achieve sufficient accuracy. In this work we propose the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-01-29 Wenxuan Zhang , Dingzu Wang , Dario Poletti

Modern problems in astronomical Bayesian inference require efficient methods for sampling from complex, high-dimensional, often multi-modal probability distributions. Most popular methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, perform…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-03-16 Will Vousden , Will M. Farr , Ilya Mandel

The Multilevel Monte Carlo method is an efficient variance reduction technique. It uses a sequence of coarse approximations to reduce the computational cost in uncertainty quantification applications. The method is nowadays often considered…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-15 Pieterjan Robbe , Dirk Nuyens , Stefan Vandewalle

In this work, we propose a smart idea to couple importance sampling and Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). We advocate a per level approach with as many importance sampling parameters as the number of levels, which enables us to compute the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-10 Ahmed Kebaier , Jérôme Lelong

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have not been broadly adopted in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). This paper initially reviews the main challenges in sampling from the parameter posterior of a neural network via MCMC. Such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Theodore Papamarkou , Jacob Hinkle , M. Todd Young , David Womble

A new Monte Carlo algorithm for phase-space sampling, named (MC)**3, is presented. It is based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques but at the same time incorporates prior knowledge about the target distribution in the form of suitable…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Kevin Kroeninger , Steffen Schumann , Benjamin Willenberg

In many situations it is important to be able to propose $N$ independent realizations of a given distribution law. We propose a strategy for making $N$ parallel Monte Carlo Markov Chains (MCMC) interact in order to get an approximation of…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Fabien Campillo , Vivien Rossi

We describe an embarrassingly parallel, anytime Monte Carlo method for likelihood-free models. The algorithm starts with the view that the stochasticity of the pseudo-samples generated by the simulator can be controlled externally by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-03 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

Monte Carlo approaches have recently been proposed to quantify connectivity in neuronal networks. The key problem is to sample from the conditional distribution of a single neuronal spike train, given the activity of the other neurons in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-12-01 Yuriy Mishchenko , Liam Paninski

We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath