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This paper introduces the multivariate tail-inflated normal (MTIN) distribution, an elliptical heavy-tails generalization of the multivariate normal (MN). The MTIN belongs to the family of MN scale mixtures by choosing a convenient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-23 Antonio Punzo , Luca Bagnato

The task for a general and useful classification of the tail behaviors of probability distributions still has no satisfactory solution. Due to lack of information outside the range of the data the tails of the distribution should be…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Pavlina Jordanova

We study the extremes of multivariate regularly varying random fields. The crucial tools in our study are the tail field and the spectral field, notions that extend the tail and spectral processes of Basrak and Segers (2009). The spatial…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-13 Lifan Wu , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this paper we study the additive functionals of Markov chains via conditioning with respect to both past and future of the chain. We shall point out new sufficient projective conditions, which assure that the variance of partial sums of…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Magda Peligrad

We consider the tail distribution of the edge cover time of a specific non-Markov process, $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk, on finite connected graphs, whose transition probability is proportional to weights of edges. Here the weights…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-09 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang

In this paper, we are interested in investigating the perturbation bounds for the stationary distributions for discrete-time or continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. For discrete-time Markov chains, two new norm-wise…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-27 Yuanyuan Liu

We examine two analytical characterisation of the metastable behavior of a Markov chain. The first one expressed in terms of its transition probabilities, and the second one in terms of its large deviations rate functional. Consider a…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-07 L. Bertini , D. Gabrielli , C. Landim

We consider Markov chains on partially ordered sets that generalize the success-runs and remaining life chains in reliability theory. We find conditions for recurrence and transience and give simple expressions for the invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2010-04-08 Kyle Siegrist

We establish a simple variance inequality for U-statistics whose underlying sequence of random variables is an ergodic Markov Chain. The constants in this inequality are explicit and depend on computable bounds on the mixing rate of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-05 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove

We analyze the properties of degree-preserving Markov chains based on elementary edge switchings in undirected and directed graphs. We give exact yet simple formulas for the mobility of a graph (the number of possible moves) in terms of its…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2012-03-12 E. S. Roberts , A. Annibale , A. C. C. Coolen

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Stan Zachary , Sergey Foss

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process, specified by random jumps and switching semi-flows, as well as the associated Markov chain given by its post-jump locations, are investigated in this paper. The existence of an exponentially…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We evaluate the dependence among the margins of a random vector with Multivariate Extreme Value distribution throughout the expected value of a range and relate this coefficient of dependence with the multivariate tail dependence. Its…

概率论 · 数学 2013-04-26 Helena Ferreira

For many Markov chains of practical interest, the invariant distribution is extremely sensitive to perturbations of some entries of the transition matrix, but insensitive to others; we give an example of such a chain, motivated by a problem…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-10-12 Erik Thiede , Brian Van Koten , Jonathan Weare

Multistable distributions, which have been introduced recently by Falconer, L\'evy V\'ehel and their co-authors, are natural generalizations of symmetric "alpha" stable distributions; roughly speaking, they are obtained by replacing the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-07 Antoine Ayache

We consider a discrete-time Markov chain $(X^t,Y^t)$, $t=0,1,2,...$, where the $X$-component forms a Markov chain itself. Assume that $(X^t)$ is Harris-ergodic and consider an auxiliary Markov chain ${\hat{Y}^t}$ whose transition…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-13 Sergey Foss , Seva Shneer , Andrey Tyurlikov

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

Intervals between discrete events representing human activities, as well as other types of events, often obey heavy-tailed distributions, and their impacts on collective dynamics on networks such as contagion processes have been intensively…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-24 Elohim Fonseca dos Reis , Aming Li , Naoki Masuda

This paper presents precise large deviation estimates for solutions to stochastic fixed point equations of the type V =_d f(V), where f(v) = Av + g(v) for a random function g(v) = o(v) a.s. as v tends to infinity. Specifically, we provide…

概率论 · 数学 2011-03-15 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Anand N. Vidyashankar