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Models of physics beyond the Standard Model often contain a large number of parameters. These form a high-dimensional space that is computationally intractable to fully explore. Experimental constraints project onto a subspace of viable…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2022-01-05 Jacob Hollingsworth , Michael Ratz , Philip Tanedo , Daniel Whiteson

Hypothesis testing is a fundamental issue in statistical inference and has been a crucial element in the development of information sciences. The Chernoff bound gives the minimal Bayesian error probability when discriminating two hypotheses…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 J. Calsamiglia , R. Munoz-Tapia , Ll. Masanes , A. Acin , E. Bagan

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

This is the first paper of a series of two devoted to develop a practical method to describe the growth history of bound virialized objects in the gravitational instability scenario without resorting to $N$-body simulations. Here we present…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Alberto Manrique , Eduard Salvador-Sole

Analysis of extremal behavior of stochastic processes is a key ingredient in a wide variety of applications, including probability, statistical physics, theoretical computer science, and learning theory. In this paper, we consider centered…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-19 Yifeng Chu , Maxim Raginsky

Macdonald processes are measures on sequences of integer partitions built using the Cauchy summation identity for Macdonald symmetric functions. These measures are a useful tool to uncover the integrability of many probabilistic systems,…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-27 Guillaume Barraquand , Alexei Borodin , Ivan Corwin

Random probabilities are a key component to many nonparametric methods in Statistics and Machine Learning. To quantify comparisons between different laws of random probabilities several works are starting to use the elegant Wasserstein over…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-27 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

Gaussian random fields are popular models for spatially varying uncertainties, arising for instance in geotechnical engineering, hydrology or image processing. A Gaussian random field is fully characterised by its mean function and…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-19 Jonas Latz , Marvin Eisenberger , Elisabeth Ullmann

An important task of uncertainty quantification is to identify {the probability of} undesired events, in particular, system failures, caused by various sources of uncertainties. In this work we consider the construction of Gaussian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Hongqiao Wang , Guang Lin , Jinglai Li

In a seminal 2005 paper, Haagerup and Thorbj{\o}rnsen discovered that the norm of any noncommutative polynomial of independent complex Gaussian random matrices converges to that of a limiting family of operators that arises from…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Ramon van Handel

When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

The Gaussian process (GP) is a popular way to specify dependencies between random variables in a probabilistic model. In the Bayesian framework the covariance structure can be specified using unknown hyperparameters. Integrating over these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-11-01 Iain Murray , Ryan Prescott Adams

To model modern large-scale datasets, we need efficient algorithms to infer a set of $P$ unknown model parameters from $N$ noisy measurements. What are fundamental limits on the accuracy of parameter inference, given finite signal-to-noise…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-07 Madhu Advani , Surya Ganguli

Gaussian processes constitute a very powerful and well-understood method for non-parametric regression and classification. In the classical framework, the training data consists of deterministic vector-valued inputs and the corresponding…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-09-26 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

We develop an analysis pipeline for characterizing the topology of large scale structure and extracting cosmological constraints based on persistent homology. Persistent homology is a technique from topological data analysis that quantifies…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-06-14 Matteo Biagetti , Alex Cole , Gary Shiu

We derive new explicit bounds for the total variation distance between two convolution products of $n$ probability distributions, one of which having identical convolution factors. Approximations by finite signed measures of arbitrary order…

概率论 · 数学 2008-11-06 Bero Roos

Motivated by statistical inference problems in high-dimensional time series data analysis, we first derive non-asymptotic error bounds for Gaussian approximations of sums of high-dimensional dependent random vectors on hyper-rectangles,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-05 Jinyuan Chang , Xiaohui Chen , Mingcong Wu