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Constraints are a natural choice for prior information in Bayesian inference. In various applications, the parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the constraint set. In this paper, we use a method that implicitly defines a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-27 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

Underlying many Bayesian inference techniques that seek to approximate the posterior as a Gaussian distribution is a fundamental linear algebra problem that must be solved for both the mean and key entries of the covariance. Even when the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Timothy D Barfoot

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models provide elegant methods for discovering underlying latent features within a data set, but inference in such models can be slow. We exploit the fact that completely random measures, which commonly used…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-17 Avinava Dubey , Michael Minyi Zhang , Eric P. Xing , Sinead A. Williamson

We study some sufficient conditions imposed on the sequence of martingale differences (m.d.) in the separable Banach spaces of continuous functions defined on the metric compact set for the Central Limit Theorem in this space. We taking…

概率论 · 数学 2014-11-11 L. Sirota

The central limit theorem is, with the strong law of large numbers, one of the two fundamental limit theorems in probability theory. Benjamin Jourdain and Alvin Tse have extended to non-linear functionals of the empirical measure of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-14 Roberta Flenghi , Benjamin Jourdain

We study the problem of bounding the posterior distribution of discrete probabilistic programs with unbounded support, loops, and conditioning. Loops pose the main difficulty in this setting: even if exact Bayesian inference is possible,…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Fabian Zaiser , Andrzej S. Murawski , C. -H. Luke Ong

TThe problem is to identify a probability associated with a set of natural numbers, given an infinite data sequence of elements from the set. If the given sequence is drawn i.i.d. and the probability mass function involved (the target)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-07-14 Paul M. B. Vitanyi , Nick Chater

Maximum margin binary classification is one of the most fundamental algorithms in machine learning, yet the role of featurization maps and the high-dimensional asymptotics of the misclassification error for non-Gaussian features are still…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-03 Andrea Montanari , Feng Ruan , Basil Saeed , Youngtak Sohn

Sinopoli et al. (TAC, 2004) considered the problem of optimal estimation for linear systems with Gaussian noise and intermittent observations, available according to a Bernoulli arrival process. They showed that there is a "critical"…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-06-10 Andrea Censi

We show sharp bounds for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent random variables satisfying Bernstein's condition. One such bound is very close to the tail of the standard Gaussian law in certain case; other bounds…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-13 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Statisticians increasingly face the problem to reconsider the adaptability of classical inference techniques. In particular, divers types of high-dimensional data structures are observed in various research areas; disclosing the boundaries…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-09 Paavo Sattler , Markus Pauly

In the application of Bayesian methods to metrology, pre-data probabilities play a critical role in the estimation of the model uncertainty. Following the observation that distributions form Riemann's manifolds, methods of differential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-17 Giovanni Mana , Carlo Palmisano

This paper presents an approach for constrained Gaussian Process (GP) regression where we assume that a set of linear transformations of the process are bounded. It is motivated by machine learning applications for high-consequence…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Christian Agrell

The Bayesian approach to inference stands out for naturally allowing borrowing information across heterogeneous populations, with different samples possibly sharing the same distribution. A popular Bayesian nonparametric model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-25 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

Model Predictive Control evolved as the state of the art paradigm for safety critical control tasks. Control-as-Inference approaches thereof model the constrained optimization problem as a probabilistic inference problem. The constraints…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-21 Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference with a supervised version of the Gaussian process latent variable model. The framework overcomes the high correlations between latent variables and hyperparameters by using an unbiased pseudo…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-29 Charles Gadd , Sara Wade , Akeel Shah , Dimitris Grammatopoulos

Mixtures of Gaussian (or normal) distributions arise in a variety of application areas. Many heuristics have been proposed for the task of finding the component Gaussians given samples from the mixture, such as the EM algorithm, a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Sanjeev Arora , Ravi Kannan

In the present paper and the companion paper [8] a probabilistic (statistical mechanical) approach to the study of canonical metrics and measures on a complex algebraic variety X is introduced. On any such variety with positive Kodaira…

微分几何 · 数学 2016-09-20 Robert J. Berman

We study point processes that consist of certain centers of point tuples of an underlying Poisson process. Such processes arise in stochastic geometry in the study of exceedances of various functionals describing geometric properties of the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-26 Moritz Otto
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