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The contour maps of the error of historical resp. parametric estimates for large random portfolios optimized under the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES) are constructed. Similar maps for the sensitivity of the portfolio weights to small…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-10-19 Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor , Gábor Papp

Given the high volatility and susceptibility to extreme events in the cryptocurrency market, forecasting tail risk is of paramount importance. Value-at-Risk (VaR), a quantile-based risk measure, is widely used for assessing tail risk and is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-22 Wenchao Xu , Xinyu Zhang , Jeng-Min Chiou , Yuying Sun

Numerical challenges inherent in algorithms for computing worst Value-at-Risk in homogeneous portfolios are identified and solutions as well as words of warning concerning their implementation are provided. Furthermore, both conceptual and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-12-29 Marius Hofert , Amir Memartoluie , David Saunders , Tony Wirjanto

The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

Capital allocation is a procedure used to assess the risk contributions of individual risk components to the total risk of a portfolio. While the conditional tail expectation (CTE)-based capital allocation is arguably the most popular…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-05 Enrique Calderín-Ojeda , Yuyu Chen , Soon Wei Tan

Risk management is a prominent issue in peer-to-peer lending. An investor may naturally reduce his risk exposure by diversifying instead of putting all his money on one loan. In that case, an investor may want to minimize the Value-at-Risk…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-10 Albert Di Wang , Ye Du

The debate of what quantitative risk measure to choose in practice has mainly focused on the dichotomy between Value at Risk (VaR) -- a quantile -- and Expected Shortfall (ES) -- a tail expectation. Range Value at Risk (RVaR) is a natural…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-27 Tobias Fissler , Johanna F. Ziegel

The paper Zhao et al. (2015) shows that mean-CVaR-skewness portfolio optimization problems based on asymetric Laplace (AL) distributions can be transformed into quadratic optimization problems under which closed form solutions can be found.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-02-20 Nuerxiati Abudurexiti , Kai He , Dongdong Hu , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Hasanjan Sayit , Ruoyu Sun

Conditional risk measures and their associated risk contribution measures are commonly employed in finance and actuarial science for evaluating systemic risk and quantifying the effects of risk interactions. This paper introduces various…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-01 Limin Wen , Junxue Li , Tong Pu , Yiying Zhang

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In this paper, we consider the nonconvex minimization problem of the value-at-risk (VaR) that arises from financial risk analysis. By considering this problem as a special linear program with linear complementarity constraints (a bilevel…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-20 Jong-Shi Pang , Sven Leyffer

In an environment of increasingly volatile financial markets, the accurate estimation of risk remains a major challenge. Traditional econometric models, such as GARCH and its variants, are based on assumptions that are often too rigid to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-19 Fredy Pokou , Jules Sadefo Kamdem , François Benhmad

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) and Value-at-Risk (VaR), also called the superquantile and quantile, are frequently used to characterize the tails of probability distribution's and are popular measures of risk. Buffered Probability of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2019-02-19 Matthew Norton , Valentyn Khokhlov , Stan Uryasev

We propose a new deep learning approach for the quantification of name concentration risk in loan portfolios. Our approach is tailored for small portfolios and allows for both an actuarial as well as a mark-to-market definition of loss. The…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-19 Eva Lütkebohmert , Julian Sester

The most recent financial upheavals have cast doubt on the adequacy of some of the conventional quantitative risk management strategies, such as VaR (Value at Risk), in many common situations. Consequently, there has been an increasing need…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-17 Gelin Gao , Bud Mishra , Daniele Ramazzotti

In this paper, we apply Value-at-Risk (VaR) approaches on the problem of yearly electric generation management. In a classical approach, the future is modelled as a markov chain and the goal is to minimize the average generation cost over…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2007-05-23 Vincent Guigues , Papa-Momar Ndiaye

Credit risk may be warehoused by choice, or because of limited hedging possibilities. Credit risk warehousing increases capital requirements and leaves open risk. Open risk must be priced in the physical measure, rather than the risk…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-01-08 Chris Kenyon , Andrew Green

Risk control and optimal diversification constitute a major focus in the finance and insurance industries as well as, more or less consciously, in our everyday life. We present a discussion of the characterization of risks and of the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Didier Sornette

Risk diversification is the basis of insurance and investment. It is thus crucial to study the effects that could limit it. One of them is the existence of systemic risk that affects all the policies at the same time. We introduce here a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-12-03 Marc Busse , Michel Dacorogna , Marie Kratz