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In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

We extend the Matom\"{a}ki-Radziwi\l\l{} theorem to a large collection of unbounded multiplicative functions that are uniformly bounded, but not necessarily bounded by 1, on the primes. Our result allows us to estimate averages of such a…

数论 · 数学 2021-11-15 Alexander P. Mangerel

In this work, we undertake a comprehensive reformulation, modification, and extension of Smith and Spiegelhalter's (1980) and (1982) Bayes Factor work within the evolving subject of Objective Bayes Factors. Our primary focus centers on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-12 Richard Clare

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The Frequentist, Assisted by Bayes (FAB) framework constructs confidence regions that leverage prior information about parameter values. FAB confidence regions (FAB-CRs) have smaller volume for values of the parameter that are likely under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Stefano Cortinovis , François Caron

Squared error loss remains the most commonly used loss function for constructing a Bayes estimator of the parameter of interest. However, it can lead to sub-optimal solutions when a parameter is defined in a restricted space. It can also be…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-25 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , Mauro Gasparini

We provide a framework for assessing the default nature of a prior distribution using the property of regular variation, which we study for global-local shrinkage priors. In particular, we demonstrate the horseshoe priors, originally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-17 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard

An advantage of methods that base inference on a posterior distribution is that credible regions are readily obtained. Except in well-specified situations, however, there is no guarantee that such regions will achieve the nominal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-28 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

The density weighted average derivative (DWAD) of a regression function is a canonical parameter of interest in economics. Classical first-order large sample distribution theory for kernel-based DWAD estimators relies on tuning parameter…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Michael Jansson , Ricardo Masini

Bayesian hierarchical models are frequently used in practical data analysis contexts. One interpretation of these models is that they provide an indirect way of assigning a prior for unknown parameters, through the introduction of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Brendon J. Brewer

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

Let $\Phi$ be a random $k$-CNF formula on $n$ variables and $m$ clauses, where each clause is a disjunction of $k$ literals chosen independently and uniformly. Our goal is to sample an approximately uniform solution of $\Phi$ (or…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Kun He , Kewen Wu , Kuan Yang

Functional Analysis of Variance (FANOVA) from Hilbert-valued correlated data with spatial rectangular or circular supports is analyzed, when Dirichlet conditions are assumed on the boundary. Specifically, a Hilbert-valued fixed effect model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-05 J. Álvarez-Liébana , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

We study empirical Bayes estimation in high-dimensional linear regression. To facilitate computationally efficient estimation of the underlying prior, we adopt a variational empirical Bayes approach, introduced originally in Carbonetto and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-27 Sumit Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen , Subhabrata Sen

In this article, we study the binary classification problem with supervised data, in the case where the covariate-to-probability-of-success map is possibly spatially inhomogeneous. We devise nonparametric Bayesian procedures with…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-10 Matteo Giordano

For $0<\alpha<1$ let $V(\alpha)$ denote the supremum of the numbers $v$ such that every $\alpha$-H\"older continuous function is of bounded variation on a set of Hausdorff dimension $v$. Kahane and Katznelson (2009) proved the estimate $1/2…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-29 Omer Angel , Richárd Balka , András Máthé , Yuval Peres

Posterior tempering reduces the influence of the likelihood in the calculation of the posterior by raising the likelihood to a fractional power $\alpha$. The resulting power posterior - also known as an $\alpha$-posterior or fractional…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-15 Ruchira Ray , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

A priori bound for the parameter to be estimated is incorporated into confidence intervals within frequentistic approach in a straightforward and optimal fashion, ensuring the best resolution of non-boundary values as well as robustness for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-04-06 Fyodor V. Tkachov

National statistical agencies are regularly required to produce estimates about various subpopulations, formed by demographic and/or geographic classifications, based on a limited number of samples. Traditional direct estimates computed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Shuchi Goyal , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal