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This paper considers a new approach to using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in contexts where one may adopt multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo. The underlying problem is to approximate expectations w.r.t. an underlying probability measure that is…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-27 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yaxian Xu

With reference to a baseline parametrization, we explore highly efficient fractional factorial designs for inference on the main effects and, perhaps, some interactions. Our tools include approximate theory together with certain carefully…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-14 Rahul Mukerjee , S. Huda

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms provide a very general recipe for estimating properties of complicated distributions. While their use has become commonplace and there is a large literature on MCMC theory and practice, MCMC users…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-03 Murali Haran , Luke Tierney

Real-world distributed systems and networks are often unreliable and subject to random failures of its components. Such a stochastic behavior affects adversely the complexity of optimization tasks performed routinely upon such systems, in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Milos Hauskrecht , Tomas Singliar

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are employed to sample from a given distribution of interest, whenever either the distribution does not exist in closed form, or, if it does, no efficient method to simulate an independent sample from…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-07-22 Ioana A. Cosma , Masoud Asgharian

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-08 Vitor G. C. da Silva , Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , João B. M. Pereira

The efficiency of a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm might be measured by the cost of generating one independent sample, or equivalently, the total cost divided by the effective sample size, defined in terms of the integrated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-12 Youhan Fang , Yudong Cao , Robert D. Skeel

Let $\mathscr{P}(E)$ be the space of probability measures on a measurable space $(E,\mathcal{E})$. In this paper we introduce a class of nonlinear Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for simulating from a probability measure…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-07-18 Christophe Andrieu , Ajay Jasra , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre Del Moral

We propose a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method in which trial configurations are generated by evolving a state, sampled from a prior distribution, using a Markov transition matrix. We present two prototypical algorithms and derive their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-01-09 Joel Mabillard , Isha Malhotra , Bortolo Matteo Mognetti

In this paper we investigate the continuum limits of a class of Markov chains. The investigation of such limits is motivated by the desire to model very large networks. We show that under some conditions, a sequence of Markov chains…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2011-06-22 Yang Zhang , Edwin K. P. Chong , Jan Hannig , Donald Estep

Rate-dependent effects in the electronics used to instrument the tagger focal plane at the MAX IV Laboratory have been investigated using the novel approach of Monte Carlo simulation. Results are compared to analytical calculations as well…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2013-10-07 L. S. Myers , G. Feldman , K. G. Fissum , L. Isaksson , M. A. Kovash , A. M. Nathan , R. E. Pywell , B. Schröder

Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Paul Fearnhead , Joris Bierkens , Murray Pollock , Gareth O Roberts

This article is a tutorial on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and their statistical analysis. The theoretical concepts are illustrated through many numerical assignments from the author's book on the subject. Computer code (in Fortran)…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Bernd A. Berg

Markov chains can be used to generate samples whose distribution approximates a given target distribution. The quality of the samples of such Markov chains can be measured by the discrepancy between the empirical distribution of the samples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-01-18 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu

In a Monte-Carlo test, the observed dataset is fixed, and several resampled or permuted versions of the dataset are generated in order to test a null hypothesis that the original dataset is exchangeable with the resampled/permuted ones.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-05 Lasse Fischer , Aaditya Ramdas

In this paper, we introduce the fundamental notion of a Markov basis, which is one of the first connections between commutative algebra and statistics. The notion of a Markov basis is first introduced by Diaconis and Sturmfels (1998) for…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-27 Satoshi Aoki

Markov chain Monte Calro methods (MCMC) are commonly used in Bayesian statistics. In the last twenty years, many results have been established for the calculation of the exact convergence rate of MCMC methods. We introduce another rate of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-17 Kengo Kamatani

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a sampling-based method for estimating features of probability distributions. MCMC methods produce a serially correlated, yet representative, sample from the desired distribution. As such it can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Dootika Vats , Nathan Robertson , James M Flegal , Galin L Jones

Inference after model selection presents computational challenges when dealing with intractable conditional distributions. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a common method for sampling from these distributions, but its slow convergence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu

The concepts of probability, statistics and stochastic theory are being successfully used in structural engineering. Markov Chain modelling is a simple stochastic process model that has found its application in both describing stochastic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2007-08-14 K. Balaji Rao