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相关论文: Adaptive Poisson disorder problem

200 篇论文

A common assumption when modeling queuing systems is that arrivals behave like a Poisson process with constant parameter. In practice, however, call arrivals are often observed to be significantly overdispersed. This motivates that in this…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-07 Mariska Heemskerk , Julia Kuhn , Michel Mandjes

We study a new modification of the Arrival problem, which allows for nodes that exhibit random as well as controlled behaviour, in addition to switching nodes. We study the computational complexity of these extensions, building on existing…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Thomas Webster

We address the problem of sequentially selecting and observing processes from a given set to find the anomalies among them. The decision-maker observes one process at a time and obtains a noisy binary indicator of whether or not the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-14 Geethu Joseph , M. Cenk Gursoy , Pramod K. Varshney

This paper introduces a new asymptotic regime for simplifying stochastic models having non-stationary effects, such as those that arise in the presence of time-of-day effects. This regime describes an operating environment within which the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-19 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

The multiple disorder problem seeks to determine a sequence of stopping times which are as close as possible to the unknown times of disorders at which the observation process changes its probability characteristics. We derive closed form…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-02 Pavel V. Gapeev

In the problem of quickest change detection, a change occurs at some unknown time in the distribution of a sequence of random vectors that are monitored in real time, and the goal is to detect this change as quickly as possible subject to a…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Georgios Fellouris , George V. Moustakides

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where a sequence of independent random elements is accessed sequentially, there is an abrupt change in its distribution at some unknown time, and there are two main operational…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-03 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

This paper is concerned with one kind of partially observed progressive optimal control problems of coupled forward-backward stochastic systems driven by both Brownian motion and Poisson random measure with risk-sensitive criteria. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-08 Jingtao Lin , Jingtao Shi

The problem of detecting the presence of a signal that can lead to a disaster is studied. A decision-maker collects data sequentially over time. At some point in time, called the change point, the distribution of data changes. This change…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-07 Tim Brucks , Taposh Banerjee , Rahul Mishra

We propose a quickest change detection problem over sensor networks where both the subset of sensors undergoing a change and the local post-change distributions are unknown. Each sensor in the network observes a local discrete time random…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

We study a version of the classical Cayley-Moser optimal stopping problem, in which a seller must sell an asset by a given deadline, with the offers, which are independent random variables with a known distribution, arriving at random…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-05 Guy Katriel

We study a version of the stochastic control problem of minimizing the sum of running and controlling costs, where control opportunities are restricted to independent Poisson arrival times. Under a general setting driven by a general L\'evy…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-11-19 Kei Noba , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

We study the Wiener disorder detection problem where each observation is associated with a positive cost. In this setting, a strategy is a pair consisting of a sequence of observation times and a stopping time corresponding to the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-07-14 Erhan Bayraktar , Erik Ekstrom , Jia Guo

Algorithms are developed for the quickest detection of a change in statistically periodic processes. These are processes in which the statistical properties are nonstationary but repeat after a fixed time interval. It is assumed that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Yousef Oleyaeimotlagh , Taposh Banerjee , Ahmad Taha , Eugene John

We consider optimal stopping problems for a Brownian motion and a geometric Brownian motion with a "disorder", assuming that the moment of a disorder is uniformly distributed on a finite interval. Optimal stopping rules are found as the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-18 A. N. Shiryaev , M. V. Zhitlukhin

This paper solves a recursive optimal stopping problem with Poisson stopping constraints using the penalized backward stochastic differential equation (PBSDE) with jumps. Stopping in this problem is only allowed at Poisson random…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-20 Gechun Liang , Wei Wei , Zhen Wu , Zhenda Xu

The problem of sequential anomaly detection is considered, where multiple data sources are monitored in real time and the goal is to identify the "anomalous" ones among them, when it is not possible to sample all sources at all times. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-23 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris