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This paper addresses the problem of estimating the tail index of distributions with heavy, Pareto-type tails for dependent data, that is of interest in the areas of finance, insurance, environmental monitoring and teletraffic analysis. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-05-25 Stilian A Stoev , George Michailidis

This article is devoted to the study of tail index estimation based on i.i.d. multivariate observations, drawn from a standard heavy-tailed distribution, i.e. of which 1-d Pareto-like marginals share the same tail index. A multivariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-10 Stéphan Clémençon , Antoine Dematteo

In this paper we consider the estimation problem for high quantiles of a heavy-tailed distribution from block data when only a few largest values are observed within blocks. We propose estimators for high quantiles and prove that these…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-27 Yongcheng Qi , Mengzi Xie , Jingping Yang

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

Estimating the tail index parameter is one of the primal objectives in extreme value theory. For heavy-tailed distributions the Hill estimator is the most popular way to estimate the tail index parameter. Improving the Hill estimator was…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-05 László Németh , András Zempléni

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

In this paper we propose a new approach to estimation of the tail exponent in financial stock markets. We begin the study with the finite sample behavior of the Hill estimator under {\alpha}-stable distributions. Using large Monte Carlo…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2012-01-24 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

When analysing extreme values, two alternative statistical approaches have historically been held in contention: the block maxima method (or annual maxima method, spurred by hydrological applications) and the peaks-over-threshold. Clamoured…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-12 Claudia Neves , Chang Xu

In this paper we develop a novel inferential approach based on geometric records for estimating the tail index of heavy-tailed distributions. We construct a maximum likelihood estimator for the Pareto model and establish its strong…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-30 Martín Alcalde , Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

We study a new estimator for the tail index of a distribution in the Frechet domain of attraction that arises naturally by computing subsample maxima. This estimator is equivalent to taking a U-statistic over a Hill estimator with two order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Stefan Wager

The relationship between a response variable and its covariates can vary significantly, especially in scenarios where covariates take on extremely high or low values. This paper introduces a max-linear tail regression model specifically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

A new estimator is proposed for estimating the tail exponent of a heavy-tailed distribution. This estimator, referred to as the layered Hill estimator, is a generalization of the traditional Hill estimator, building upon a layered structure…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-20 Taegyu Kang , Takashi Owada

Stable distributions provide a flexible framework for modeling heavy-tailed and skewed data, with the stability index $\alpha$ quantifying tail heaviness. We propose a new semiparametric estimator for $\alpha$ that leverages the two-sum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Cornelis J. Potgieter , Jacques van Appel , Sudharshan Samaratunga

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

Consider a random sample in the max-domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value distribution such that the dependence structure of the attractor belongs to a parametric model. A new estimator for the unknown parameter is defined as…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-05 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

In this paper we are concerned with the analysis of heavy-tailed data when a portion of the extreme values is unavailable. This research was motivated by an analysis of the degree distributions in a large social network. The degree…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-20 Jingjing Zou , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We introduce a method to estimate simultaneously the tail and the threshold parameters of an extreme value regression model. This standard model finds its use in finance to assess the effect of market variables on extreme loss distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Julien Hambuckers , Marie Kratz , Antoine Usseglio-Carleve
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