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Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

Extreme value theory has constructed asymptotic properties of the sample maximum. This study concerns probability distribution estimation of the sample maximum. The traditional approach is parametric fitting to the limiting distribution --…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama

This work makes two advances in the study of the (approximate) nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) for exponential family mixture models. First, we develop a data-compression strategy that reduces the cost of repeated…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-22 Yan Zhang

The Laplace approximation (LA) has been proposed as a method for approximating the marginal likelihood of statistical models with latent variables. However, the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) based on the LA are often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

While the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator under regularity conditions is long established, this paper derives explicit bounds for the bounded Wasserstein distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-29 Andreas Anastasiou , Gesine Reinert

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

Lately, a New Transmuted Logistic-exponential (NTLE) distribution was introduced and studied as an extension of the Logistic-Exponential Distribution (LED) with wider applicability in lifetime modelling. However, the maximum likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-19 Isqeel Ogunsola , Abosede Akintunde , Kehinde Yusuff , Basirat Adetona , Faheez Abdulrasaq

We establish global rates of convergence of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of a multivariate distribution function in the case of (one type of) "interval censored" data. The main finding is that the rate of convergence of the MLE in…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-01 Jon A. Wellner , Fuchang Gao

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

Asymptotic efficiency of targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLE) of target features of the data distribution relies on a a second order remainder being asymptotically negligible. In previous work we proposed a nonparametric MLE termed…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-02 Mark van der Laan , Zeyi Wang , Lars van der Laan

Current Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) methods used to analyze time-to-event data estimate the survival probability for each time point separately, which result in estimates that are not necessarily monotone. In this paper,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-14 Weixin Cai , Mark J. van der Laan

Finite state space hidden Markov models are flexible tools to model phenomena with complex time dependencies: any process distribution can be approximated by a hidden Markov model with enough hidden states.We consider the problem of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Luc Lehéricy

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

We show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is an effective tool for mitigating non-flow effects in flow analysis. To this end, one constructs two toy models that simulate non-flow contributions corresponding to particle decay and…

The paper presents a novel asymptotic distribution for a mle when the log--likelihood is strictly concave in the parameter for all data points; for example, the exponential family. The new asymptotic distribution can be seen as a refinement…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-15 Stephen G Walker

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

We consider the problem of estimating a mixture of power series distributions with infinite support, to which belong very well-known models such as Poisson, Geometric, Logarithmic or Negative Binomial probability mass functions. We consider…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-04 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Harald Besdziek , Yong Wang

We study the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) in high-dimensional logistic models, extending the recent results from Sur (2019) to the case where the Gaussian covariates may have an arbitrary covariance structure. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-05 Qian Zhao , Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candès

In real life we often deal with independent but not identically distributed observations (i.n.i.d.o), for which the most well-known statistical model is the multiple linear regression model (MLRM) without random covariates. While the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-25 Elena Castilla , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-29 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman