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We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

概率论 · 数学 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

We construct and study branching Markov processes on the space of finite configurations of the state space of a given standard process, controlled by a branching kernel and a killing one. In particular, we may start with a superprocess,…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-03 Lucian Beznea , Oana Lupascu

In this paper, we investigate the concentration properties of cumulative reward in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), focusing on both asymptotic and non-asymptotic settings. We introduce a unified approach to characterize reward…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Borna Sayedana , Peter E. Caines , Aditya Mahajan

Since 1997 a considerable effort has been spent to study the mixing time of switch Markov chains on the realizations of graphic degree sequences of simple graphs. Several results were proved on rapidly mixing Markov chains on unconstrained,…

The switch chain is a well-known Markov chain for sampling directed graphs with a given degree sequence. While not ergodic in general, we show that it is ergodic for regular degree sequences. We then prove that the switch chain is rapidly…

组合数学 · 数学 2011-10-17 Catherine Greenhill

We present a geometrically enhanced Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for networks based on a discrete curvature measure defined on graphs. Specifically, we incorporate the concept of graph Forman curvature into sampling procedures on both…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 John Sigbeku , Emil Saucan , Anthea Monod

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) has transformed Bayesian model inference over the past three decades: mainly because of this, Bayesian inference is now a workhorse of applied scientists. Under general conditions, MCMC sampling converges…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Ben Lambert , Aki Vehtari

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

We consider Gibbs distributions on finite random plane trees with bounded branching. We show that as the order of the tree grows to infinity, the distribution of any finite neighborhood of the root of the tree converges to a limit. We…

概率论 · 数学 2010-03-04 Yuri Bakhtin

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms play a key role in the Bayesian approach to phylogenetic inference. In this paper, we present the first theoretical work analyzing the rate of convergence of several Markov chains widely used in…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel , Eric Vigoda

We study the global and local regularity properties of random wavelet series whose coefficients exhibit correlations given by a tree-indexed Markov chain. We determine the law of the spectrum of singularities of these series, thereby…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-13 Arnaud Durand

We prove the existence of limiting distributions for a large class of Markov chains on a general state space in a random environment. We assume suitable versions of the standard drift and minorization conditions. In particular, the system…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-04 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi

These lecture notes present some new concentration inequalities for Feynman-Kac particle processes. We analyze different types of stochastic particle models, including particle profile occupation measures, genealogical tree based evolution…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-07-13 Pierre Del Moral , Peng Hu , Liming Wu

We use the $f-divergence$ also called relative entropy as a measure of diversity between probability densities and review its basic properties. In the sequence we define a few objects which capture relevant information from the sample of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-20 A. R. Baigorri , C. R. Goncalves , P. A. A. Resende

Focusing on stochastic systems arising in mean-field models, the systems under consideration belong to the class of switching diffusions, in which continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and interact. The discrete events are modeled…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-18 Son L. Nguyen , George Yin , Tuan A. Hoang

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

We extend the Carne--Varopoulos upper bound on the probability transitions of a Markov chain to a certain class of nonreversible processes by introducing the definition of a ``centering measure.'' In the case of random walks on a group, we…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Pierre Mathieu

Causal relationships among variables are commonly represented via directed acyclic graphs. There are many methods in the literature to quantify the strength of arrows in a causal acyclic graph. These methods, however, have undesirable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-08 Yue Wang , Linbo Wang