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We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

For a bivariate time series $((X_i,Y_i))_{i=1,...,n}$ we want to detect whether the correlation between $X_i$ and $Y_i$ stays constant for all $i = 1,...,n$. We propose a nonparametric change-point test statistic based on Kendall's tau and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-12 Herold Dehling , Daniel Vogel , Martin Wendler , Dominik Wied

This paper proposes a novel test method for high-dimensional mean testing regard for the temporal dependent data. Comparison to existing methods, we establish the asymptotic normality of the test statistic without relying on restrictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yuchen Hu , Xiaoyi Wang , Long Feng

This paper studies multivariate nonparametric change point localization and inference problems. The data consists of a multivariate time series with potentially short range dependence. The distribution of this data is assumed to be…

We introduce a rank-based bent linear regression with an unknown change point. Using a linear reparameterization technique, we propose a rank-based estimate that can make simultaneous inference on all model parameters, including the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-08 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li

We present a novel approach to test for heteroscedasticity of a non-stationary time series that is based on Gini's mean difference of logarithmic local sample variances. In order to analyse the large sample behaviour of our test statistic,…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-24 Sara Kristin Schmidt , Max Wornowizki , Roland Fried , Herold Dehling

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We consider the problem of detecting gradual changes in the sequence of mean functions from a not necessarily stationary functional time series. Our approach is based on the maximum deviation (calculated over a given time interval) between…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-13 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

In this paper we propose using a nonparametric model specification test for parametric time series with long-range dependence (LRD). To establish asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistic, we develop new central limit theorems…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-11 Jiti Gao , Qiying Wang , Jiying Yin

This paper investigates change point inference in high-dimensional time series. We begin by introducing a max-$L_2$-norm based test procedure, which demonstrates strong performance under dense alternatives. We then establish the asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Xiaoyi Wang , Jixuan Liu , Long Feng

We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

Many popular robust estimators are $U$-quantiles, most notably the Hodges-Lehmann location estimator and the $Q_n$ scale estimator. We prove a functional central limit theorem for the sequential $U$-quantile process without any moment…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-12 Daniel Vogel , Martin Wendler

Changepoint detection identifies times when the generative process of a time series changes, with applications in healthcare, cybersecurity, and finance. In multivariate settings, changes in cross-variable and temporal dependence are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Victor K. Khamesi , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall M. Adams , Dean A. Bodenham

We develop methodology to detect structural breaks in the slope function of a concurrent functional linear regression model for functional time series in $C[0,1]$. Our test is based on a CUSUM process of regressor-weighted OLS residual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Rupsa Basu , Sven Otto

Assuming that $(X_t)_{t\in\Z}$ is a vector valued time series with a common marginal distribution admitting a density $f$, our aim is to provide a wide range of consistent estimators of $f$. We consider different methods of estimation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Nicolas Ragache , Olivier Wintenberger

Multivariate time series may be subject to partial structural changes over certain frequency band, for instance, in neuroscience. We study the change point detection problem with high dimensional time series, within the framework of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-21 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic

Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

Change point detection in covariance structures is a fundamental and crucial problem for sequential data. Under the high-dimensional setting, most of the existing research has focused on identifying change points in historical data.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Zhigang Bao , Kha Man Cheong , Yuji Li , Jiaxin Qiu