English

Detecting Parameter Instabilities in Functional Concurrent Linear Regression

Methodology 2026-02-16 v1 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

We develop methodology to detect structural breaks in the slope function of a concurrent functional linear regression model for functional time series in C[0,1]C[0,1]. Our test is based on a CUSUM process of regressor-weighted OLS residual functions. To accommodate both global and local changes, we propose L2L^2- and sup-norm versions, with the sup-norm particularly sensitive to spike-like changes. Under H\"older regularity and weak dependence conditions, we establish a functional strong invariance principle, derive the asymptotic null distribution, and show that the resulting tests are consistent against a broad class of alternatives with breaks in the slope function. Simulation studies illustrate finite-sample size and power. We apply the method to sports data obtained via body-worn sensors from running athletes, focusing on hip and knee joint-angle trajectories recorded during a fatiguing run. As fatigue accumulates, runners adapt their movement patterns, and sufficiently pronounced adjustments are expected to appear as a change point in the regression relationship. In this manner, we illustrate how the proposed tests support interpretable inference for biomechanical functional time series.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.13152,
  title  = {Detecting Parameter Instabilities in Functional Concurrent Linear Regression},
  author = {Rupsa Basu and Sven Otto},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.13152},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T10:35:41.708Z