相关论文: Martingale selection theorem for a stochastic sequ…

In this paper we study the path-regularity and martingale properties of the set-valued stochastic integrals defined in our previous work Ararat et al. (2023). Such integrals have some fundamental differences from the well-known…

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is introduced and…

Consider observation of a phenomenon of interest subject to selective sampling due to a censoring mechanism regulated by some other variable. In this context, an extensive literature exists linked to the so-called Heckman selection model. A…

Given a sequence $(M^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ of nonnegative martingales starting at $M^n_0=1$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $(\widetilde{M}^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ and a limiting process $X$ such that…

In this note we establish some appropriate conditions for stochastic equality of two random variables/vectors which are ordered with respect to convex ordering or with respect to supermodular ordering. Multivariate extensions of this result…

Michael's selection theorem implies that a closed convex nonempty-valued mapping from the Sorgenfrey line to a euclidean space is inner semicontinuous if and only if the mapping can be represented as the image closure of right-continuous…

Most of the stochastic orders for comparing random variables, considered in the literature, are afflicted with two main drawbacks: (i) lack of connex property and (ii) lack of consideration of any dependence structure between the random…

We provide a necessary and sufficient condition under which a convex set is approachable in a game with partial monitoring, i.e.\ where players do not observe their opponents' moves but receive random signals. This condition is an extension…

We study constrained selection sets of random closed sets defined on a non-atomic probability space. Given a random interval $Y=[y_L,y_U]$ and scalar constraints on the expectation or the median of admissible selections, we characterize the…

We consider monotone mean-variance (MMV) portfolio selection problems with a conic convex constraint under diffusion models, and their counterpart problems under mean-variance (MV) preferences. We obtain the precommitted optimal strategies…

We consider testing whether a set of Gaussian variables, selected from the data, is independent of the remaining variables. We assume that this set is selected via a very simple approach that is commonly used across scientific disciplines:…

We consider a square-integrable semimartingale and investigate the convex order relations between its discrete, continuous and predictable quadratic variation. As the main results, we show that if the semimartingale has conditionally…

We consider stochastic variational inequalities with monotone operators defined as the expected value of a random operator. We assume the feasible set is the intersection of a large family of convex sets. We propose a method that combines…

A new type of stochastic dependence for a sequence of random variables is introduced and studied. Precisely, (X_n)_{n\geq 1} is said to be conditionally identically distributed (c.i.d.), with respect to a filtration (G_n)_{n\geq 0}, if it…

We analyze the martingale selection problem of Rokhlin (2006) in a pointwise (robust) setting. We derive conditions for solvability of this problem and show how it is related to the classical no-arbitrage deliberations. We obtain versions…

For a given element $f\in L^1$ and a convex cone $C\subset L^\infty$, $C\cap L^\infty_+=\{0\}$ we give necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of an element $g\ge f$ lying in the polar of $C$. This polar is taken in…

We consider the solution of a stochastic convex optimization problem $\mathbb{E}[f(x;\theta^*,\xi)]$ over a closed and convex set $X$ in a regime where $\theta^*$ is unavailable and $\xi$ is a suitably defined random variable. Instead,…

For local martingales with nonnegative jumps, we prove a sufficient criterion for the corresponding exponential martingale to be a true martingale. The criterion is in terms of exponential moments of a convex combination of the optional and…

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables, with mean zero and variance one. Let $W_n=(X_1+\ldots+X_n)/\sqrt{n}$. An old and celebrated result of Prohorov asserts that $W_n$ converges in total variation to the standard…

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…