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We investigate a weighted Multilevel Richardson-Romberg extrapolation for the ergodic approximation of invariant distributions of diffusions adapted from the one introduced in~[Lemaire-Pag\`es, 2013] for regular Monte Carlo simulation. In a…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-05 Gilles Pagès , Fabien Panloup

Pricing options is an important problem in financial engineering. In many scenarios of practical interest, financial option prices associated to an underlying asset reduces to computing an expectation w.r.t.~a diffusion process. In general,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-12 Deborshee Sen , Ajay Jasra , Yan Zhou

We consider the numerical solution of scalar, nonlinear degenerate convection-diffusion problems with random diffusion coefficient and with random flux functions. Building on recent results on the existence, uniqueness and continuous…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2013-11-08 U. Koley , N. H. Risebro , Ch. Schwab , F. Weber

We consider selecting the top-$m$ alternatives from a finite number of alternatives via Monte Carlo simulation. Under a Bayesian framework, we formulate the sampling decision as a stochastic dynamic programming problem, and develop a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-22 Gongbo Zhang , Yijie Peng , Jianghua Zhang , Enlu Zhou

We study the approximation of expectations $\operatorname{E}(f(X))$ for solutions $X$ of stochastic differential equations and functionals $f$ on the path space by means of Monte Carlo algorithms that only use random bits instead of random…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Mario Hefter , Lukas Mayer , Klaus Ritter

We propose an extragradient method with stepsizes bounded away from zero for stochastic variational inequalities requiring only pseudo-monotonicity. We provide convergence and complexity analysis, allowing for an unbounded feasible set,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-02 Alfredo Iusem , Alejandro Jofré , Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

A first-order, Monte Carlo ensemble method has been recently introduced for solving parabolic equations with random coefficients in [26], which is a natural synthesis of the ensemble-based, Monte Carlo sampling algorithm and the…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-19 Yan Luo , Zhu Wang

Multilevel Splitting methods, also called Sequential Monte-Carlo or \emph{Subset Simulation}, are widely used methods for estimating extreme probabilities of the form $P[S(\mathbf{U}) > q]$ where $S$ is a deterministic real-valued function…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-06 Clément Walter

We propose a new least-squares Monte Carlo algorithm for the approximation of conditional expectations in the presence of stochastic derivative weights. The algorithm can serve as a building block for solving dynamic programming equations,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-02 Christian Bender , Nikolaus Schweizer

Dirichlet distributions are probability measures on the unit simplex. They are often used as prior distributions in modeling categorical data, such as in topic analysis of text data. Motivated by this application, we consider Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Ayeong Lee

We obtain non asymptotic concentration bounds for two kinds of stochastic approximations. We first consider the deviations between the expectation of a given function of the Euler scheme of some diffusion process at a fixed deterministic…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-12 Noufel Frikha , Stephane Menozzi

In this paper, we study the asymptotic error distribution for a two-level irregular discretization scheme of the solution to the stochastic differential equations (SDE for short) driven by a continuous semimartingale and obtain a central…

概率论 · 数学 2025-12-15 Yi Guo , Yuxi Guo , Hanchao Wang

We propose a new scheme for the long time approximation of a diffusion when the drift vector field is not globally Lipschitz. Under this assumption, regular explicit Euler scheme --with constant or decreasing step-- may explode and implicit…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire

The theme of the present paper is numerical integration of $C^r$ functions using randomized methods. We consider variance reduction methods that consist in two steps. First the initial interval is partitioned into subintervals and the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-21 Leszek Plaskota , Paweł Przybyłowicz , Łukasz Stępień

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

We propose and analyze a Multilevel Richardson-Romberg (MLRR) estimator which combines the higher order bias cancellation of the Multistep Richardson-Romberg method introduced in [Pa07] and the variance control resulting from the…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

The Monte Carlo dropout method has proved to be a scalable and easy-to-use approach for estimating the uncertainty of deep neural network predictions. This approach was recently applied to Fault Detection and Di-agnosis (FDD) applications…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-11 Baihong Jin , Yingshui Tan , Yuxin Chen , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli

We made a comparative analysis of numerical methods for multidimensional optimization. The main parameter is a number of computations of the test function to reach necessary accuracy, as it is computationally "slow". For complex functions,…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-10-09 Ivan L. Andronov , Maria G. Tkachenko

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

Using the standard finite element method (FEM) to solve general partial differential equations, the round-off error is found to be proportional to $N^{\beta_{\rm R}}$, with $N$ the number of degrees of freedom (DoFs) and $\beta_{\rm R}$ a…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-02-08 Jie Liu , Henk M. Schuttelaars , Matthias Möller