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Markov chain Monte Carlo is widely used in a variety of scientific applications to generate approximate samples from intractable distributions. A thorough understanding of the convergence and mixing properties of these Markov chains can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Kshitij Khare

We investigate three different methods for systematically approximating the diffusion coefficient of a deterministic random walk on the line which contains dynamical correlations that change irregularly under parameter variation. Capturing…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Georgie Knight , Rainer Klages

We derive Edgeworth expansions that describe corrections to the Gaussian limiting behaviour of slow-fast systems. The Edgeworth expansion is achieved using a semi-group formalism for the transfer operator, where a Duhamel-Dyson series is…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2019-02-05 Jeroen Wouters , Georg A. Gottwald

In this paper a new estimator for the transition density $\pi$ of an homogeneous Markov chain is considered. We introduce an original contrast derived from regression framework and we use a model selection method to estimate $\pi$ under…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-26 Claire Lacour

The aim of this paper is to propose diffusion strategies for distributed estimation over adaptive networks, assuming the presence of spatially correlated measurements distributed according to a Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model. The…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-06-22 Paolo Di Lorenzo

Continuous diffusion models have demonstrated remarkable performance in data generation across various domains, yet their efficiency remains constrained by two critical limitations: (1) the local adjacency structure of the forward Markov…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Xunpeng Huang , Yingyu Lin , Nikki Lijing Kuang , Hanze Dong , Difan Zou , Yian Ma , Tong Zhang

In this work, we consider rather general and broad class of Markov chains, Ito chains, that look like Euler-Maryama discretization of some Stochastic Differential Equation. The chain we study is a unified framework for theoretical analysis.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-02 Aleksei Ustimenko , Aleksandr Beznosikov

We study the weak approximation error of a skew diffusion with bounded measurable drift and H\"older diffusion coefficient by an Euler-type scheme, which consists of iteratively simulating skew Brownian motions with constant drift. We first…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-30 Noufel Frikha

Network method of moments arXiv:1202.5101 is an important tool for nonparametric network inference. However, there has been little investigation on accurate descriptions of the sampling distributions of network moment statistics. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-09 Yuan Zhang , Dong Xia

Consider a sequence (indexed by n) of Markov chains Z^n in R^d characterized by transition kernels that approximately (in n) depend only on the rescaled state n^{-1} Z^n. Subject to a smoothness condition, such a family can be closely…

概率论 · 数学 2009-08-17 Kamil Szczegot

We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

We prove the convergence of the law of grid-valued random walks, which can be seen as time-space Markov chains, to the law of a general diffusion process. This includes processes with sticky features, reflecting or absorbing boundaries and…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-15 Alexis Anagnostakis , Antoine Lejay , Denis Villemonais

In this work we investigate the multivariate statistical description of the matter distribution in the nonlinear regime. We introduce the multivariate Edgeworth expansion of the lognormal distribution to model the cosmological matter field.…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-20 F. S. Kitaura

The explicit criteria for several types of ergodicity of one-dimensional diffusions or birth-death processes have been found out recently in a surprisingly short period. One of the criteria is for exponential ergodicity of birth-death…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Mu-Fa chen

We consider the parameter estimation of Markov chain when the unknown transition matrix belongs to an exponential family of transition matrices. Then, we show that the sample mean of the generator of the exponential family is an…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

We develop a higher-order asymptotic analysis for the semi-hard triplet loss using the Edgeworth expansion. It is known that this loss function enforces that embeddings of similar samples are close while those of dissimilar samples are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Masanari Kimura

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

In this work, we propose \texttt{TimeGrad}, an autoregressive model for multivariate probabilistic time series forecasting which samples from the data distribution at each time step by estimating its gradient. To this end, we use diffusion…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-09 Kashif Rasul , Calvin Seward , Ingmar Schuster , Roland Vollgraf

In this article, we consider diffusion approximations for a general class of stochastic recursions. Such recursions arise as models for population growth, genetics, financial securities, multiplicative time series, numerical schemes and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-13 David Kelly

The Wright--Fisher diffusion is important in population genetics in modelling the evolution of allele frequencies over time subject to the influence of biological phenomena such as selection, mutation, and genetic drift. Simulating paths of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-01-16 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spanò