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Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are often deemed too computationally intensive to be of any practical use for big data applications, and in particular for inference on datasets containing a large number $n$ of individual data points, also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-13 Rémi Bardenet , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

Techniques for evaluating the normalization integral of the target density for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are described and tested numerically. It is assumed that the Markov Chain algorithm has converged to the target distribution…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-10-30 Allen Caldwell , Chang Liu

We propose a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method in which trial configurations are generated by evolving a state, sampled from a prior distribution, using a Markov transition matrix. We present two prototypical algorithms and derive their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-01-09 Joel Mabillard , Isha Malhotra , Bortolo Matteo Mognetti

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

Probabilistic models are conceptually powerful tools for finding structure in data, but their practical effectiveness is often limited by our ability to perform inference in them. Exact inference is frequently intractable, so approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-07-25 Robert Nishihara , Iain Murray , Ryan P. Adams

This paper concerns error bounds for recursive equations subject to Markovian disturbances. Motivating examples abound within the fields of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Reinforcement Learning (RL), and many of these algorithms can be…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-10 Shuhang Chen , Adithya M. Devraj , Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

Recent advances in stochastic gradient variational inference have made it possible to perform variational Bayesian inference with posterior approximations containing auxiliary random variables. This enables us to explore a new synthesis of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-20 Tim Salimans , Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have not been broadly adopted in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). This paper initially reviews the main challenges in sampling from the parameter posterior of a neural network via MCMC. Such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Theodore Papamarkou , Jacob Hinkle , M. Todd Young , David Womble

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a very versatile and widely used tool to compute integrals and expectations. In this short survey we focus on error bounds, rules for choosing the burn in, high dimensional problems and…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-03 Erich Novak , Daniel Rudolf

We develop a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that exploits a hierarchy of models of increasing complexity to efficiently generate samples from an unnormalized target distribution. Broadly, the method rewrites the Multilevel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , Colin Fox , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl

Reaction networks are often used to model interacting species in fields such as biochemistry and ecology. When the counts of the species are sufficiently large, the dynamics of their concentrations are typically modeled via a system of…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-01-05 David F. Anderson , Kurt W. Ehlert

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are widely used to draw samples from intractable target distributions. Particle degeneracy can hinder the use of SMC when the target distribution is highly constrained or multimodal. As a motivating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-26 Zhaoran Hou , Samuel W. K. Wong

Sampling from a lattice Gaussian distribution is emerging as an important problem in various areas such as coding and cryptography. The default sampling algorithm --- Klein's algorithm yields a distribution close to the lattice Gaussian…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling , Guillaume Hanrot

One of the most demanding calculations is to generate random samples from a specified probability distribution (usually with an unknown normalizing prefactor) in a high-dimensional configuration space. One often has to resort to using a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Youhan Fang , Jesus-Maria Sanz-Serna , Robert D. Skeel

We propose a method to efficiently integrate truncated probability densities. The method uses Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample from a probability density matching the function being integrated. The required normalisation or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-10 A. John Arul , Kannan Iyer

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a popular technique in Bayesian statistical modeling. They have long been used to obtain samples from posterior distributions, but recent research has focused on the scalability of these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-02 Nicholas A. Johnson , Frank O. Kuehnel , Ali Nasiri Amini

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna
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